| 1 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$14.9M |
Dec 31 |
| 2 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$6.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 3 |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$754K |
Dec 31 |
| 4 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$637K |
Dec 31 |
| 5 |
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$628K |
Jun 30 |
| 6 |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi...
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$595K |
Jun 30 |
| 7 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w...
|
polymarket |
65¢ |
$498K |
Dec 31 |
| 8 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$480K |
Dec 31 |
| 9 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$477K |
Dec 31 |
| 10 |
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$454K |
Dec 31 |
| 11 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$454K |
Dec 31 |
| 12 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$440K |
Dec 31 |
| 13 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher...
|
polymarket |
30¢ |
$411K |
Dec 31 |
| 14 |
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$347K |
Dec 31 |
| 15 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
62¢ |
$339K |
Dec 31 |
| 16 |
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$332K |
Jun 30 |
| 17 |
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
|
polymarket |
29¢ |
$331K |
Dec 31 |
| 18 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
|
polymarket |
27¢ |
$306K |
Dec 31 |
| 19 |
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$274K |
Dec 31 |
| 20 |
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$272K |
Jun 30 |
| 21 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption wo...
|
polymarket |
19¢ |
$271K |
Dec 31 |
| 22 |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$225K |
Dec 31 |
| 23 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$223K |
Dec 31 |
| 24 |
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
polymarket |
19¢ |
$221K |
Dec 31 |
| 25 |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher...
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$209K |
Dec 31 |
| 26 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher...
|
polymarket |
32¢ |
$186K |
Dec 31 |
| 27 |
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$178K |
Dec 31 |
| 28 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
polymarket |
35¢ |
$174K |
Dec 31 |
| 29 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$164K |
Dec 31 |
| 30 |
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
|
polymarket |
80¢ |
$141K |
Jan 10, 2027 |
| 31 |
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$136K |
Dec 31 |
| 32 |
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher ...
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$132K |
Dec 31 |
| 33 |
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$120K |
Dec 31 |
| 34 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$110K |
Dec 31 |
| 35 |
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$95K |
Mar 31, 2027 |
| 36 |
Megaquake by June 30?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$78K |
Jun 30 |
| 37 |
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher w...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$74K |
Dec 31 |
| 38 |
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$71K |
Jun 30 |
| 39 |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$63K |
Dec 31 |
| 40 |
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
polymarket |
84¢ |
$60K |
Dec 31 |
| 41 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w...
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$39K |
Dec 31 |
| 42 |
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$33K |
Dec 31 |
| 43 |
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$31K |
Dec 31 |
| 44 |
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw...
|
polymarket |
50¢ |
$30K |
Jun 30 |
| 45 |
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$30K |
Jun 30 |
| 46 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m squ...
|
polymarket |
49¢ |
$27K |
Oct 1 |
| 47 |
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$27K |
Jun 30 |
| 48 |
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$22K |
Jan 10, 2027 |
| 49 |
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid...
|
polymarket |
26¢ |
$19K |
Jun 30 |
| 50 |
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
|
polymarket |
71¢ |
$17K |
Jan 10, 2027 |