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Weather

3615 prediction markets tagged with “Weather”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? polymarket 0¢ $550K Dec 31
2 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 0¢ $510K Dec 31
3 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 1¢ $454K Jun 30
4 Named storm forms before hurricane season? polymarket 0¢ $287K May 31
5 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? polymarket 0¢ $257K Dec 31
6 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? polymarket 0¢ $254K Dec 31
7 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 0¢ $250K Dec 31
8 5kt meteor strike in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $231K Dec 31
9 Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 0¢ $224K Jun 30
10 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? polymarket 0¢ $213K Dec 31
11 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption wo... polymarket 0¢ $201K Dec 31
12 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? polymarket 0¢ $198K Dec 31
13 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? polymarket 0¢ $190K Dec 31
14 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 0¢ $188K Dec 31
15 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 0¢ $170K Dec 31
16 Natural Disaster in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $160K Dec 31
17 Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worl... polymarket 0¢ $142K Dec 31
18 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 0¢ $140K Dec 31
19 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? polymarket 0¢ $139K Dec 31
20 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $122K Dec 31
21 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? polymarket 0¢ $116K Mar 10
22 Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in Febru... polymarket 0¢ $113K Mar 10
23 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 0¢ $104K Jun 30
24 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 0¢ $103K Dec 31
25 Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher ... polymarket 0¢ $101K Dec 31
26 Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? polymarket 1¢ $97K Mar 10
27 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? polymarket 1¢ $92K Mar 10
28 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $89K Dec 31
29 Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in Febru... polymarket 0¢ $88K Mar 10
30 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in Febru... polymarket 0¢ $87K Mar 10
31 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? polymarket 0¢ $84K Dec 31
32 Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? polymarket 0¢ $84K Mar 10
33 Megaquake by March 31? polymarket 0¢ $82K Mar 31
34 Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 0¢ $81K Jun 30
35 Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 0¢ $80K Jun 30
36 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 20... polymarket 0¢ $63K Mar 10
37 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026? polymarket 0¢ $60K Mar 10
38 Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 0¢ $58K Jun 30
39 Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? polymarket 1¢ $51K Jan 10, 2027
40 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher w... polymarket 0¢ $49K Dec 31
41 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in Febru... polymarket 0¢ $44K Mar 10
42 Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? polymarket 0¢ $42K Mar 10
43 Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? polymarket 0¢ $39K Mar 10
44 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket 0¢ $33K Dec 31
45 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $32K Mar 31, 2027
46 Will a hurricane form by May 31? polymarket 0¢ $30K May 31
47 Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March... polymarket 0¢ $24K Apr 10
48 Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $19K Jan 10, 2027
49 Will March 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? polymarket 1¢ $19K Apr 10
50 Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? polymarket 0¢ $18K Mar 10
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