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Platforms 2
Active Arbs 138
Volume $9.1B

Weather

2292670 prediction markets tagged with “Weather”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? polymarket 2¢ $18.7M Jan 1, 2027
2 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? polymarket 7¢ $6.5M Jan 1, 2027
3 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? polymarket <1¢ $909K Mar 2, 2027
4 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 1¢ $834K Feb 1, 2027
5 Ebola pandemic in 2026? polymarket 2¢ $789K Jan 1, 2027
6 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? polymarket 86¢ $736K Mar 2, 2027
7 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? polymarket <1¢ $605K Dec 31
8 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? polymarket <1¢ $555K Mar 2, 2027
9 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? polymarket <1¢ $536K Mar 2, 2027
10 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 17¢ $501K Jan 1, 2027
11 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? polymarket 9¢ $476K Mar 2, 2027
12 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 1¢ $422K Jan 8, 2027
13 Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? polymarket 4¢ $360K Jan 1, 2027
14 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? polymarket 4¢ $352K Jan 1, 2027
15 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? polymarket 97¢ $339K Jan 1, 2027
16 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 3¢ $333K Feb 1, 2027
17 5kt meteor strike in 2026? polymarket 9¢ $316K Mar 1, 2027
18 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 19¢ $294K Jan 8, 2027
19 Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 1¢ $276K Jan 1, 2027
20 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption wo... polymarket 30¢ $275K Jan 1, 2027
21 Natural Disaster in 2026? polymarket 12¢ $251K Mar 1, 2027
22 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? polymarket 14¢ $220K Jan 1, 2027
23 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? polymarket 5¢ $210K Mar 1, 2027
24 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 27¢ $190K Jan 8, 2027
25 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? polymarket 5¢ $148K Apr 1, 2027
26 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? polymarket 2¢ $143K Jan 1, 2027
27 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? polymarket 3¢ $143K Jan 1, 2027
28 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? polymarket 2¢ $118K Mar 1, 2027
29 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and Oct... polymarket 86¢ $78K Oct 31
30 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket <1¢ $70K Jan 8, 2027
31 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? polymarket 10¢ $67K Jul 1, 2027
32 Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? polymarket 95¢ $65K Jan 1, 2027
33 Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1... polymarket 10¢ $64K Nov 1
34 Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? polymarket 19¢ $63K Jul 1, 2027
35 Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? polymarket 14¢ $60K Jan 1, 2027
36 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? polymarket 5¢ $60K Dec 31
37 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below ... polymarket 26¢ $57K Apr 1, 2027
38 Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2... polymarket 95¢ $54K Nov 2
39 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? polymarket 70¢ $54K Apr 1, 2027
40 Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? polymarket 38¢ $53K Jul 1, 2027
41 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and Oc... polymarket <1¢ $47K Nov 2
42 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 5¢ $47K Jan 1, 2027
43 Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket <1¢ $36K Apr 1, 2027
44 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510... polymarket 7¢ $35K Apr 16, 2027
45 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? polymarket 24¢ $35K Jan 1, 2028
46 Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 1¢ $32K Jan 1, 2027
47 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? polymarket 3¢ $31K Jan 1, 2027
48 Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC... polymarket 93¢ $28K Apr 1, 2027
49 Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? polymarket 95¢ $28K Jan 8, 2027
50 Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? polymarket 84¢ $26K Jan 9, 2027
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