Learn About Prediction Markets

Guides, tutorials, and explainers for prediction market traders — from basics to advanced arbitrage strategies.

What Are Prediction Markets?

A beginner's guide to prediction markets, how they work, and why they're more accurate than polls.

How cross-platform arbitrage works, how to calculate spreads, and real strategies for capturing risk-free profits.

How to trade on Polymarket — account setup, deposits, order types, fees, and advanced trading strategies.

How to trade on Kalshi — the first CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. Account setup, contract types, and strategies.

Converting between cents, probabilities, and decimal odds. Understanding bid-ask spreads and implied probability.

Proven strategies including market making, event-driven trading, portfolio construction, and risk management.