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Live
Markets 422832
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 108
Volume $8.3B

Polymarket vs Kalshi: Complete Comparison

Side-by-side platform comparison with real-time market data, pricing, and coverage analysis.

Polymarket
Total Markets 199645
Total Volume $4.8B
Categories 6
Avg Spread 0.45¢
Kalshi
Total Markets 223187
Total Volume $3.4B
Categories 7
Avg Spread 0.10¢
Shared Markets 410

Matched Markets

Market Poly Bid Poly Ask Kalshi Bid Kalshi Ask Spread (bps) Volume
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential n... 2.2¢ 5.7¢ 16.0¢ 17.0¢ 970 $3K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Pr... 10.0¢ 11.0¢ 13.0¢ 14.0¢ 138 $12K
Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nom... 4.3¢ 5.0¢ 14.0¢ 15.0¢ 848 $3K
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential... 4.4¢ 7.9¢ 3.8¢ 4.1¢ 8 $2K
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nom... 4.4¢ 8.1¢ 2.9¢ 3.3¢ 91 $6K
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential n... 4.1¢ 6.4¢ 4.2¢ 4.7¢ 0 $6K
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential... 4.7¢ 6.2¢ 4.6¢ 4.7¢ 0 $6K
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential n... 2.1¢ 3.0¢ 4.7¢ 4.9¢ 149 $6K
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidentia... 2.8¢ 4.6¢ 2.7¢ 2.8¢ 0 $3K
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nomi... 6.0¢ 9.5¢ 2.2¢ 2.3¢ 351 $3K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League ... 10.0¢ 11.0¢ 12.0¢ 13.0¢ 41 $3.4M
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Ch... 3.6¢ 3.7¢ 3.0¢ 4.0¢ 0 $1.3M
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Ch... 69.0¢ 70.0¢ 71.0¢ 72.0¢ 0 $1.3M
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) ... 5.0¢ 5.3¢ 5.0¢ 6.0¢ 0 $1.3M
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) C... 6.9¢ 7.0¢ 6.0¢ 7.0¢ 0 $1.3M
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Champ... 13.0¢ 14.0¢ 11.0¢ 12.0¢ 38 $1.1M
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Women's Champions League... 61.1¢ 62.3¢ 21.0¢ 22.0¢ 3721 ⚠ $5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET 58.0¢ 59.0¢ —¢ 100.0¢ 0 $583
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Champions... 14.0¢ 15.0¢ 13.0¢ 14.0¢ 0 $893K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League C... 6.0¢ 7.0¢ 6.0¢ 7.0¢ 0 $937K
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Cha... 12.0¢ 13.0¢ 13.0¢ 14.0¢ 0 $682K
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? 29.0¢ 30.0¢ 29.0¢ 30.0¢ 0 $50K
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? 38.0¢ 44.0¢ 36.9¢ 44.2¢ 0 $482K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Champio... 4.0¢ 5.0¢ 4.0¢ 5.0¢ 0 $510K
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? 61.0¢ 63.0¢ 58.0¢ 59.0¢ 0 $29K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? 2.1¢ 5.0¢ 3.0¢ 4.0¢ 0 $464K
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? 20.1¢ 23.0¢ 20.0¢ 21.0¢ 0 $352K
OKX IPO in 2026? 3.8¢ 5.9¢ —¢ 3.0¢ 63 $619K
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? 14.5¢ 15.6¢ 17.0¢ 18.0¢ 57 $410K
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? 2.6¢ 2.9¢ 3.0¢ 4.0¢ 0 $492K

Key Differences

Regulation & Access

Polymarket is a crypto-native platform built on Polygon, accepting USDC deposits and offering global access. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange based in the United States, operating with USD and requiring identity verification for all users.

Market Coverage

Polymarket tends to focus heavily on crypto price predictions, political events, and trending cultural topics. Kalshi offers a broader range of categories including weather, economics, and financial markets, with many structured as binary contracts with specific strike prices and expiration dates.

Liquidity & Fees

Polymarket generally has tighter spreads on high-volume crypto markets due to its larger trading community, while Kalshi provides more consistent liquidity across its regulated contract offerings. Polymarket charges dynamic per-token fees while Kalshi uses a fixed fee schedule.

Arbitrage Opportunities

When the same event is priced differently across Polymarket and Kalshi, the price gap represents a potential arbitrage opportunity. PredRadar tracks these differences in real time, calculating the potential profit after platform fees in basis points.