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Platforms 2
Active Arbs 70
Volume $9.1B

Market Price Differences

Sentiment divergence between Polymarket and Kalshi — 100 matched markets

Price differences show where platforms disagree on the probability of an outcome. Large gaps may indicate sentiment divergence, information asymmetry, or arbitrage opportunities.

Market Polymarket Kalshi Difference Higher Volume
Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete... 91.5¢ 3.5¢ 88.0¢ Polymarket $108
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants 85.5¢ 7.5¢ 78.0¢ Polymarket $8K
WHOOP IPO before 2027? 16.0¢ 90.5¢ 74.5¢ Kalshi $346
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete... 43.0¢ 99.0¢ 56.0¢ Kalshi $1
Maccabi Raanana vs. Hapoel Galil Elyon 100.0¢ 50.0¢ 50.0¢ Polymarket $4K
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji 100.0¢ 50.0¢ 50.0¢ Polymarket $29K
Criollos de Caguas vs. Mets de Guaynabo 100.0¢ 50.0¢ 50.0¢ Polymarket $1K
Alba Berlin vs. Brose Bamberg 100.0¢ 50.0¢ 50.0¢ Polymarket $14K
Aguada Santeros vs. Osos de Manati 100.0¢ 50.0¢ 50.0¢ Polymarket $2K
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles 100.0¢ 50.0¢ 50.0¢ Polymarket $15K
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants 99.6¢ 50.0¢ 49.6¢ Polymarket $7K
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. D... 99.5¢ 50.0¢ 49.5¢ Polymarket $2K
Jackson Irvine: 2+ goals 3.0¢ 50.0¢ 47.0¢ Kalshi $117
Legia Warszawa vs. Basket Zielona Gora 100.0¢ 53.0¢ 47.0¢ Polymarket $8K
Will Palestino win Chile Primera? 69.8¢ 24.5¢ 45.2¢ Polymarket $0
Will Nublense win Chile Primera? 69.8¢ 24.5¢ 45.2¢ Polymarket $0
Will Coquimbo win Chile Primera? 69.8¢ 24.5¢ 45.2¢ Polymarket $0
Will Universidad de Chile win Chile Primera? 62.2¢ 19.5¢ 42.7¢ Polymarket $1
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? 46.1¢ 4.0¢ 42.0¢ Polymarket $481
Will Huachipato win Chile Primera? 64.5¢ 24.5¢ 40.0¢ Polymarket $17
Will Deportes Limache win Chile Primera? 64.5¢ 24.5¢ 40.0¢ Polymarket $0
Will Deportes La Serena win Chile Primera? 64.5¢ 24.5¢ 40.0¢ Polymarket $16
Will O'Higgins win Chile Primera? 64.5¢ 24.5¢ 40.0¢ Polymarket $9
Will Cobresal win Chile Primera? 64.5¢ 24.5¢ 40.0¢ Polymarket $10
Lokomotiv Kuban vs. BC Zenit 100.0¢ 60.0¢ 40.0¢ Polymarket $16K
Saudi Arabia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 4.5¢ 39.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will Sam Altman be TIME Person of the Year 2026? 48.8¢ 9.5¢ 39.3¢ Polymarket $60
Jordan to win the second half? 44.0¢ 6.5¢ 37.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026? 52.8¢ 90.0¢ 37.1¢ Kalshi $184
DR Congo to win the second half? 44.0¢ 7.5¢ 36.5¢ Polymarket $0
Qatar to win the second half? 44.0¢ 7.5¢ 36.5¢ Polymarket $0
Iraq to win the second half? 44.0¢ 7.5¢ 36.5¢ Polymarket $0
New Zealand to win the second half? 44.0¢ 7.5¢ 36.5¢ Polymarket $0
Panama to win the second half? 44.0¢ 8.0¢ 36.0¢ Polymarket $0
Pavel Šulc: 1+ assists 14.0¢ 50.0¢ 36.0¢ Kalshi $22
Qatar to win the second half? 44.0¢ 8.5¢ 35.5¢ Polymarket $0
Ghana to win the second half? 44.0¢ 9.5¢ 34.5¢ Polymarket $0
Uzbekistan to win the second half? 44.0¢ 9.5¢ 34.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? 37.5¢ 3.1¢ 34.4¢ Polymarket $470
Saudi Arabia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 10.5¢ 33.5¢ Polymarket $0
Iraq to win the second half? 44.0¢ 10.5¢ 33.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will Lee Hodges finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 37.4¢ 4.0¢ 33.4¢ Polymarket $0
Will Lee Hodges finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 35.2¢ 2.0¢ 33.2¢ Polymarket $0
Senegal to win the second half? 44.0¢ 11.0¢ 33.0¢ Polymarket $0
DR Congo to win the second half? 44.0¢ 11.0¢ 33.0¢ Polymarket $0
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoe... 84.0¢ 51.0¢ 33.0¢ Polymarket $56
Will B8 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? 18.1¢ 51.0¢ 32.9¢ Kalshi $5K
Will Takumi Kanaya finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.8¢ 1.0¢ 32.8¢ Polymarket $0
Will Karl Vilips finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.8¢ 1.0¢ 32.8¢ Polymarket $6
Will Jimmy Stanger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.8¢ 1.0¢ 32.8¢ Polymarket $0
Will Trace Crowe finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.8¢ 1.0¢ 32.8¢ Polymarket $0
Will Daniel Brown finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.8¢ 1.0¢ 32.8¢ Polymarket $1
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete... 64.0¢ 96.5¢ 32.5¢ Kalshi $20
Will Kevin Roy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.8¢ 1.5¢ 32.2¢ Polymarket $0
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.8¢ 1.5¢ 32.2¢ Polymarket $0
Panama to win the second half? 44.0¢ 12.0¢ 32.0¢ Polymarket $0
Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? 38.5¢ 6.5¢ 32.0¢ Polymarket $28
Will Karl Vilips finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 34.4¢ 2.5¢ 31.9¢ Polymarket $0
Will Lucas Glover finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.0¢ 1.5¢ 31.5¢ Polymarket $0
Jordan to win the second half? 44.0¢ 12.5¢ 31.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will Matthieu Pavon finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 32.2¢ 1.0¢ 31.2¢ Polymarket $0
Will Garrick Higgo finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.0¢ 2.0¢ 31.0¢ Polymarket $0
Arka Gdynia vs. Dziki Warszawa 100.0¢ 69.0¢ 31.0¢ Polymarket $2K
Tunisia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 13.5¢ 30.5¢ Polymarket $0
Haiti to win the second half? 44.0¢ 14.5¢ 29.5¢ Polymarket $0
Ghana to win the second half? 44.0¢ 14.5¢ 29.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will Luke Clanton finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 30.8¢ 1.5¢ 29.2¢ Polymarket $0
Uruguay to win the second half? 44.0¢ 15.0¢ 29.0¢ Polymarket $0
New Zealand to win the second half? 44.0¢ 15.0¢ 29.0¢ Polymarket $0
Egypt to win the second half? 44.0¢ 15.0¢ 29.0¢ Polymarket $0
Tunisia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 15.0¢ 29.0¢ Polymarket $0
Will FBC Melgar win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $17
Will Atlético Grau win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $17
Will Los Chankas win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will Sport Huancayo win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $17
Will FC Cajamarca win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will Comerciantes Unidos win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will Cienciano win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will Deportivo Garcilaso win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will Juan Pablo II win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will UTC Cajamarca win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will Deportivo Moquegua win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $0
Will Sport Boys win Peru Liga 1? 71.2¢ 42.5¢ 28.7¢ Polymarket $22
Austria to win the second half? 44.0¢ 15.5¢ 28.5¢ Polymarket $0
Morocco to win the second half? 44.0¢ 15.5¢ 28.5¢ Polymarket $0
Croatia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 15.5¢ 28.5¢ Polymarket $0
France to win the second half? 44.0¢ 72.5¢ 28.5¢ Kalshi $0
Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026? 35.0¢ 6.5¢ 28.5¢ Polymarket $35
Sweden to win the second half? 44.0¢ 16.0¢ 28.0¢ Polymarket $0
Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League? 75.5¢ 47.5¢ 28.0¢ Polymarket $135
Australia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 16.5¢ 27.5¢ Polymarket $0
Australia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 17.0¢ 27.0¢ Polymarket $0
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 33.0¢ 6.0¢ 27.0¢ Polymarket $0
Brazil to win the second half? 44.0¢ 71.0¢ 27.0¢ Kalshi $0
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 28.5¢ 2.0¢ 26.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will Karl Vilips finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? 31.5¢ 5.0¢ 26.5¢ Polymarket $32
Czechia to win the second half? 44.0¢ 17.5¢ 26.5¢ Polymarket $0
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 71.0¢ 44.5¢ 26.5¢ Polymarket $3K
Will PARIVISION qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? 26.5¢ 52.5¢ 26.0¢ Kalshi $743
Scotland to win the second half? 44.0¢ 18.0¢ 26.0¢ Polymarket $0