Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.3
Vol: $8K
Kalshi
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.2
Mid
0.1
Vol: $2K
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.3
Vol: $8K
Kalshi
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.3
Mid
0.3
Vol: $7K
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
998 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Bid 0.27 · Ask 0.39 · Mid 0.32 · Vol $8K
Kalshi
Will Jamieson Greer leaves United States Trade Representative in before 2027?
Bid 0.11 · Ask 0.16 · Mid 0.14 · Vol $2K
Spread Buy K: 0.0998
Spread Buy P: -0.2911
Best Arb: 0.0998 (998 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Bid 0.27 · Ask 0.39 · Mid 0.32 · Vol $8K
Kalshi
Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year?
Bid 0.28 · Ask 0.34 · Mid 0.31 · Vol $7K