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Platforms 2
Active Arbs 138
Volume $9.1B

Natural Disasters

24396 prediction markets tagged with “Natural Disasters”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 1¢ $834K Feb 1, 2027
2 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 17¢ $501K Jan 1, 2027
3 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 1¢ $422K Jan 8, 2027
4 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? polymarket 4¢ $352K Jan 1, 2027
5 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 3¢ $333K Feb 1, 2027
6 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 19¢ $294K Jan 8, 2027
7 Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 1¢ $276K Jan 1, 2027
8 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption wo... polymarket 30¢ $275K Jan 1, 2027
9 Natural Disaster in 2026? polymarket 12¢ $251K Mar 1, 2027
10 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 27¢ $190K Jan 8, 2027
11 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? polymarket 5¢ $148K Apr 1, 2027
12 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and Oct... polymarket 86¢ $78K Oct 31
13 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket <1¢ $70K Jan 8, 2027
14 Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1... polymarket 10¢ $64K Nov 1
15 Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2... polymarket 95¢ $54K Nov 2
16 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and Oc... polymarket <1¢ $47K Nov 2
17 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 5¢ $47K Jan 1, 2027
18 Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket <1¢ $36K Apr 1, 2027
19 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510... polymarket 7¢ $35K Apr 16, 2027
20 Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 1¢ $32K Jan 1, 2027
21 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? polymarket 85¢ $25K Apr 16, 2027
22 Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $24K Jan 11, 2027
23 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? polymarket 2¢ $21K Jan 8, 2027
24 Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 91¢ $20K Jan 11, 2027
25 Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 4¢ $16K Jan 11, 2027
26 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? polymarket 26¢ $11K Apr 15, 2027
27 Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $10K Jan 11, 2027
28 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 f... polymarket 32¢ $6K Apr 15, 2027
29 Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026? polymarket 3¢ $5K Jan 12, 2027
30 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500... polymarket <1¢ $5K Apr 16, 2027
31 Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 1¢ $5K Jan 11, 2027
32 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft? polymarket 1¢ $5K Apr 15, 2027
33 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft? polymarket <1¢ $4K Apr 16, 2027
34 Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $4K Jan 11, 2027
35 Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $4K Jan 11, 2027
36 Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $4K Jan 11, 2027
37 Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate di... polymarket 18¢ $3K Jul 1, 2027
38 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 f... polymarket <1¢ $2K Apr 15, 2027
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