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Active Arbs 169
Volume $9.2B

Natural Disasters

10962 prediction markets tagged with “Natural Disasters”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 4¢ $637K Dec 31
2 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 100¢ $595K Jun 30
3 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 62¢ $498K Dec 31
4 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 27¢ $411K Dec 31
5 Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $332K Jun 30
6 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? polymarket 29¢ $331K Dec 31
7 Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket <1¢ $274K Dec 31
8 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption wo... polymarket 19¢ $271K Dec 31
9 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 6¢ $225K Dec 31
10 Natural Disaster in 2026? polymarket 24¢ $223K Dec 31
11 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 13¢ $209K Dec 31
12 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher... polymarket 32¢ $186K Dec 31
13 Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher ... polymarket 6¢ $132K Dec 31
14 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? polymarket 9¢ $95K Mar 31, 2027
15 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher w... polymarket 1¢ $74K Dec 31
16 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket 2¢ $63K Dec 31
17 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket 4¢ $39K Dec 31
18 Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket <1¢ $33K Dec 31
19 Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w... polymarket <1¢ $31K Dec 31
20 Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket 50¢ $30K Jun 30
21 Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket 1¢ $30K Jun 30
22 Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 2¢ $22K Jan 10, 2027
23 Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid... polymarket 27¢ $19K Jun 30
24 Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 73¢ $17K Jan 10, 2027
25 Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 5¢ $15K Jan 10, 2027
26 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? polymarket 3¢ $12K Dec 31
27 Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket 10¢ $10K Jun 30
28 Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $9K Nov 8, 642034926
29 Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world... polymarket 99¢ $8K Jul 28, 642034990
30 Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $8K Jan 10, 2027
31 Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket 1¢ $7K Jun 30
32 Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world... polymarket 100¢ $7K Nov 8, 642034926
33 Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket <1¢ $6K Jun 30
34 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket 60¢ $6K Jul 24, 642034990
35 Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $5K Jul 28, 642034990
36 Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw... polymarket <1¢ $4K Jun 30
37 Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $4K Jul 28, 642034990
38 Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $4K Jul 28, 642034990
39 Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $4K Jul 28, 642034990
40 Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher world... polymarket <1¢ $3K Jul 24, 642034990
41 Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw... polymarket <1¢ $3K Jul 28, 642034990
42 Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $3K Jan 10, 2027
43 Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $3K Jul 28, 642034990
44 Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 3¢ $3K Jan 10, 2027
45 Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket <1¢ $3K Jan 10, 2027
46 Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $2K Jul 24, 642034990
47 Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $2K Jul 28, 642034990
48 Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? polymarket 2¢ $2K Jan 10, 2027
49 Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi... polymarket <1¢ $2K Jul 24, 642034990
50 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwid... polymarket 32¢ $2K Jul 24, 642034990
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