Updown markets on Kalshi
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Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 12.5%?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will BITCH by Lizzo have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
61¢
No
39¢
Will eBay Inc. report Above $21.5 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026?
Yes
89¢
No
11¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?
Yes
89¢
No
11¢
Will the margin of victory for Ala Stanford in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be above 0%?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will average **gas prices** be below $3.20 by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 780 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?
Yes
46¢
No
54¢
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 790 million total monthly active users in 2026?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 810 million total monthly active users in 2026?
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will average **gas prices** be below $3.40 by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will the margin of victory for Ryan Busse in the 2026 MT-01 Democratic primary be above 20%?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will Reddit Inc. report above 133 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 45800 total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026?
Yes
93¢
No
7¢
Will HYPE trimmed mean be above $92.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will Do That Again by Malcolm Todd have above 75000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 52.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?
Yes
92¢
No
8¢
Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be above 12%?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 480 cava restaurants in Q2 2026?
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.80 by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?
Yes
93¢
No
7¢
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 58 million seats flown in Q2 2026?
Yes
82¢
No
18¢