Updown Prediction Markets

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026?

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 15, 2026?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%?

Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary be above 0%?

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%?

Solana price above $500 on Jan 1, 2027?

Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be above 50%?

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1400000?