Updown Prediction Markets
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Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
89¢
No
11¢
Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
Solana price above $500 on Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
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