Updown Prediction Markets
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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
Will the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 0%?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?
Yes
99¢
No
1¢
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 110000?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?
Yes
99¢
No
1¢
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 850000?
Yes
96¢
No
4¢
Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?
Yes
34¢
No
66¢
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 100000?
Yes
99¢
No
1¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1500000?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
32¢
No
68¢
Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anthropic?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Jun 11, 2026?
Yes
92¢
No
8¢
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6100.01 by Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
20¢
No
80¢