Updown markets on Kalshi
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Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 70bps?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 10%?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 9% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $490 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?
Yes
80¢
No
20¢
Will Wendy's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 85 ?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
Will Home Depot Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 97 ?
Yes
34¢
No
66¢
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 380?
Yes
68¢
No
32¢
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 60.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 50.25 million passengers in Q3 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 61 million monthly transacting users in 2026?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?
Yes
99¢
No
1¢
Will Diesel Price on October 28, 2026 be above $6.370?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 300000000 during calendar year 2026?
Yes
76¢
No
24¢
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 4.5%?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will Shell Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 105 ?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 63.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 8000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% by Oct 30, 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will Paramount+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 80 ?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
Will Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 23.3 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $780.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Drake have above 11.75M daily views at any point during November 2026?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will Fast food credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 96?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢