Updown markets on Kalshi
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Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 15, 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
Yes
62¢
No
38¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?
Yes
38¢
No
62¢
Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
Yes
77¢
No
23¢
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Yes
54¢
No
46¢
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary be above 0%?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Solana price above $500 on Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be above 50%?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1400000?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
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