Updown markets on Kalshi
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Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 9%?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
Yes
53¢
No
47¢
Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
77¢
No
23¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?
Yes
99¢
No
1¢
Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?
Yes
51¢
No
49¢
Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
Yes
37¢
No
63¢
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 15, 2026?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Solana price above $500 on Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 3%?
Yes
99¢
No
1¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
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