Updown Prediction Markets

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?

Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 9%?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?

Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?

Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?

Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 15, 2026?

Solana price above $500 on Jan 1, 2027?

Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 3%?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?