Politics markets on Polymarket
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Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Yes
92¢
No
8¢
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes
94¢
No
6¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Yes
94¢
No
6¢
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢