Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $44K
Kalshi
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $44K
Kalshi
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.2
Mid
0.2
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $44K
Kalshi
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $44K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $0
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
6902 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.03 · Mid 0.02 · Vol $44K
Kalshi
Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.74 · Ask 0.83 · Mid 0.78 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: -0.8304
Spread Buy P: 0.6903
Best Arb: 0.6903 (6902 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
1373 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.03 · Mid 0.02 · Vol $44K
Kalshi
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.17 · Ask 0.23 · Mid 0.20 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: -0.2124
Spread Buy P: 0.1374
Best Arb: 0.1374 (1373 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
403 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.03 · Mid 0.02 · Vol $44K
Kalshi
WIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.07 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.09 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: -0.0785
Spread Buy P: 0.0404
Best Arb: 0.0404 (403 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
112 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.03 · Mid 0.02 · Vol $44K
Kalshi
Will Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.04 · Ask 0.09 · Mid 0.07 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: -0.0682
Spread Buy P: 0.0113
Best Arb: 0.0113 (112 bps)