Economics Prediction Markets
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Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Keith Ellison be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Mark Kelly be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in August?
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
GDP growth in 2033?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their April 2027 meeting?
Yes
64¢
No
36¢
CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
GDP growth in 2036?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q3 2026?
Yes
66¢
No
34¢
GDP growth in 2033?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2027 meeting?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
Will E. Jean Carroll be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
GDP growth in 2035?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
34¢
No
66¢
GDP growth in 2035?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
GDP growth in 2033?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
GDP growth in 2036?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs become law before Nov 1, 2026?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
How high will CPI get this year?
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
GDP growth in 2033?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will Gavin Newsom be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢