Economics Prediction Markets
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Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their March 2027 meeting?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will CPI rise more than 1.0% in August 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
GDP growth in 2032?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Afternoon at his Sep 2026 press conference?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Sep 2026 press conference?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
GDP growth in 2034?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will Kevin Warsh say National Debt at his Sep 2026 press conference?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in August?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
How high will CPI get this year?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in September 2026?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
Will Kevin Warsh say QE / Quantitative Easing at his Sep 2026 press conference?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Kevin Warsh say Gold at his Sep 2026 press conference?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
US Nominal GDP in 2026?
Yes
96¢
No
4¢
GDP growth in 2031?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Sep 2026 press conference?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will the Fed cut rates 19 times?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
CPI month-over-month in Aug 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢