|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th...
|
Yes |
$589K |
43¢ |
64¢ |
+$295K |
|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
Yes |
$35K |
50¢ |
24¢ |
-$18K |
|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
No |
$35K |
50¢ |
76¢ |
+$18K |
|
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
$44K |
87¢ |
90¢ |
+$2K |
|
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
|
No |
$36K |
81¢ |
88¢ |
+$3K |
|
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or l...
|
Yes |
$5K |
12¢ |
<1¢ |
-$5K |
|
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
|
Yes |
$4K |
12¢ |
<1¢ |
-$4K |
|
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
|
Yes |
$7K |
22¢ |
<1¢ |
-$7K |
|
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
|
Yes |
$5K |
15¢ |
2¢ |
-$4K |
|
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
$16K |
55¢ |
84¢ |
+$8K |
|
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
|
No |
$21K |
82¢ |
92¢ |
+$3K |
|
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 3...
|
No |
$20K |
87¢ |
87¢ |
-$69 |
|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the...
|
Yes |
$13K |
66¢ |
36¢ |
-$6K |
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential ...
|
Yes |
$3K |
17¢ |
14¢ |
-$617 |
|
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local govern...
|
Yes |
$13K |
82¢ |
92¢ |
+$2K |
|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
|
No |
$13K |
84¢ |
84¢ |
+$23 |
|
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
$12K |
90¢ |
88¢ |
-$259 |
|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 20...
|
Yes |
$9K |
67¢ |
58¢ |
-$1K |
|
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by Decem...
|
No |
$11K |
82¢ |
86¢ |
+$639 |
|
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December...
|
No |
$10K |
73¢ |
48¢ |
-$3K |
|
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
|
Yes |
$11K |
88¢ |
86¢ |
-$229 |
|
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidentia...
|
Yes |
$185 |
1¢ |
<1¢ |
-$155 |
|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian p...
|
Yes |
$7K |
57¢ |
44¢ |
-$2K |
|
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidenti...
|
Yes |
$5K |
42¢ |
55¢ |
+$2K |
|
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
$10K |
88¢ |
60¢ |
-$3K |
|
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-...
|
No |
$10K |
88¢ |
90¢ |
+$134 |
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th...
|
No |
$8K |
73¢ |
66¢ |
-$677 |
|
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
$200 |
2¢ |
2¢ |
+$5 |
|
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
|
Yes |
$7K |
77¢ |
73¢ |
-$421 |
|
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela p...
|
No |
$7K |
80¢ |
92¢ |
+$1K |
|
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
|
No |
$8K |
87¢ |
94¢ |
+$620 |
|
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
|
Yes |
$7K |
92¢ |
92¢ |
+$30 |
|
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
|
Yes |
$820 |
11¢ |
4¢ |
-$513 |
|
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
|
Yes |
$5K |
71¢ |
48¢ |
-$2K |
|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the...
|
Yes |
$5K |
69¢ |
66¢ |
-$290 |
|
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal i...
|
No |
$6K |
88¢ |
88¢ |
+$40 |
|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the...
|
Yes |
$4K |
57¢ |
34¢ |
-$2K |
|
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerl...
|
No |
$6K |
93¢ |
97¢ |
+$292 |
|
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by Decembe...
|
No |
$5K |
83¢ |
82¢ |
-$2 |
|
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
|
No |
$5K |
89¢ |
90¢ |
+$82 |
|
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
|
No |
$4K |
73¢ |
66¢ |
-$403 |
|
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
|
No |
$5K |
80¢ |
72¢ |
-$460 |
|
Fed rate hike in 2026?
|
Yes |
$4K |
73¢ |
78¢ |
+$290 |
|
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of Sep...
|
Yes |
$5K |
88¢ |
88¢ |
-$9 |
|
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
|
No |
$4K |
79¢ |
88¢ |
+$453 |
|
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by Sept...
|
No |
$5K |
92¢ |
82¢ |
-$499 |
|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2...
|
No |
$4K |
84¢ |
86¢ |
+$73 |
|
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran de...
|
No |
$4K |
88¢ |
90¢ |
+$62 |
|
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan...
|
No |
$5K |
97¢ |
97¢ |
+$34 |
|
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-...
|
No |
$4K |
91¢ |
92¢ |
+$5 |