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Live
Markets 116978
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 0
Volume $1.6B

TheReturnOfDarthMaul

0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699

Open PnL +$632K
Open Win Rate 76%
Portfolio Value $6.9M
Active Positions 50

Open Positions

Market Outcome Size Entry Current P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after th... No $3.0M 98¢ 100¢ +$41K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... Yes $1.3M 45¢ 64¢ +$558K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes $471K 79¢ 93¢ +$79K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian p... Yes $346K 60¢ 44¢ -$96K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the... No $84K 35¢ 64¢ +$69K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December... No $159K 90¢ 87¢ -$6K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December... No $122K 82¢ 70¢ -$18K
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No $121K 87¢ 43¢ -$61K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes $58K 44¢ 64¢ +$27K
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes $56K 49¢ 78¢ +$33K
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes $90K 85¢ 42¢ -$46K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by Decembe... Yes $47K 67¢ 90¢ +$17K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after th... No $48K 94¢ 98¢ +$2K
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No $46K 94¢ 100¢ +$3K
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No $35K 78¢ 92¢ +$6K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December... Yes $29K 75¢ 95¢ +$8K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No $29K 89¢ 97¢ +$3K
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No $25K 88¢ 98¢ +$3K
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No $23K 85¢ 94¢ +$3K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decis... Yes $10K 39¢ 66¢ +$7K
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No $20K 83¢ 94¢ +$3K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No $18K 86¢ 93¢ +$1K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December ... No $15K 87¢ 96¢ +$2K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes $2K 14¢ 14¢ -$54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes $1K -$225
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential e... Yes $6K 49¢ 54¢ +$585
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December... No $11K 94¢ 94¢ +$34
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No $6K 61¢ 12¢ -$5K
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes $1K 13¢ -$495
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes $3K 28¢ -$2K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December ... No $9K 93¢ 96¢ +$375
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by ... Yes $4K 46¢ -$3K
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No $7K 94¢ 96¢ +$207
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No $5K 84¢ 96¢ +$715
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisi... No $2K 39¢ 66¢ +$2K
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.... Yes $4K 75¢ 90¢ +$708
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No $5K 90¢ 99¢ +$458
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No $4K 73¢ 84¢ +$575
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No $4K 76¢ 91¢ +$760
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No $5K 92¢ 94¢ +$95
US recession by end of 2026? No $4K 79¢ 92¢ +$637
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No $3K 91¢ 96¢ +$198
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on D... Anthropic + OpenAI $2K 69¢ 41¢ -$840
Stripe IPO before 2027? No $3K 88¢ 94¢ +$188
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No $2K 85¢ 98¢ +$355
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No $2K 77¢ 94¢ +$412
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31... No $2K 91¢ 93¢ +$46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... Yes $316 15¢ 34¢ +$389
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No $1K 49¢ 78¢ +$583
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 3... No $2K 89¢ 95¢ +$117

Recent Trades

Market Side Size Price Time
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $634 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $1K 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $19K 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $634 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $24K 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $634 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $1K 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $634 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $634 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $11K 63¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $634 64¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $624 63¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $624 63¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $624 63¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $624 63¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $624 63¢ 3h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $61K 64¢ 6h ago
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? BUY $2K 63¢ 6h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $621 63¢ 6h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after th... BUY $621 63¢ 6h ago