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Live
Markets 116978
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 0
Volume $1.6B

Leclerc04

0x38cf9743eb70188664d388d84d4aa4c6f40fd885

Open PnL +$488
Open Win Rate 60%
Portfolio Value $4K
Active Positions 43

Open Positions

Market Outcome Size Entry Current P&L
Will the Republican Party win the MI-06 House seat? Yes $10 <1¢ <1¢ -$5
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market cl... Yes $9 <1¢ +$4
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? No $467 68¢ 100¢ +$222
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on Se... No $281 48¢ 100¢ +$301
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes $145 33¢ 28¢ -$19
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH be... Yes $26 +$4
Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%? Under $199 57¢ 65¢ +$28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? Yes $200 58¢ 60¢ +$9
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes $200 60¢ 64¢ +$15
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026... Yes $16 +$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of Decemb... Yes $50 17¢ 22¢ +$13
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 202... Yes $14 +$9
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on Sep... No $207 78¢ 96¢ +$48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on Sep... No $199 77¢ -$185
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on Sep... No $206 85¢ 100¢ +$37
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026? Yes $33 14¢ -$21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? Yes $50 21¢ 30¢ +$20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-6... No $200 85¢ 100¢ +$35
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over... Under $61 27¢ 14¢ -$28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2... Yes $23 11¢ -$9
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? Yes $162 80¢ 97¢ +$34
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes $10 +$1
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? Yes $10 -$1
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes $80 40¢ 46¢ +$11
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No $87 44¢ 46¢ +$3
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? No $2 <1¢ 40¢ +$74
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meetin... Yes $50 29¢ 20¢ -$16
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid v... Yes $8 -$1
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of... No $31 19¢ 10¢ -$15
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? No $60 40¢ 28¢ -$19
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 20... Yes $114 79¢ 82¢ +$5
Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026... No $50 37¢ 32¢ -$7
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of... Yes $50 38¢ 34¢ -$5
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2... Yes $10 -$4
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after Sep... No $4 +$1
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? Yes $50 41¢ -$41
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September... Yes $20 16¢ -$16
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes $69 58¢ 60¢ +$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 202... No $80 69¢ 90¢ +$25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 ... No $47 41¢ -$39
Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second ... Yes $50 44¢ 46¢ +$3
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 202... Yes $29 28¢ 35¢ +$7
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral el... Yes $29 28¢ 36¢ +$9

Recent Trades

Market Side Size Price Time
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be ... BUY $10 12¢ 54m ago
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? BUY $200 58¢ 1h ago
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on Sept... BUY $10 97¢ 1h ago
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after Sep... BUY $4 3h ago
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 20... BUY $114 79¢ 3h ago
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by D... BUY $4 30¢ 4h ago
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on Se... BUY $10 31¢ 4h ago
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 10? BUY $3 75¢ 4h ago
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? BUY $10 18¢ 5h ago
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? BUY $77 44¢ 5h ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the fir... BUY $10 74¢ 6h ago
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Vot... BUY $10 48¢ 6h ago
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution ... BUY $10 25¢ 6h ago
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? BUY $200 84¢ 6h ago
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on Septe... BUY $9 91¢ 7h ago
Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpom... BUY $10 72¢ 7h ago
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New... BUY $10 64¢ 7h ago
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on Sep... BUY $8 67¢ 8h ago
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on Sep... BUY $200 78¢ 8h ago
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? BUY $10 84¢ 8h ago