| # |
Market |
Platform |
Yes |
Volume |
End Date |
| 1 |
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
|
polymarket |
63¢ |
$28K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Ch...
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$21K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatb...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$16K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatb...
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$16K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Cha...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$14K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 6 |
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chat...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$11K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 7 |
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$10K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 8 |
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$10K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 9 |
Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chat...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$9K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 10 |
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$5K |
Oct 31 |
| 11 |
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$4K |
Nov 1 |
| 12 |
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by J...
|
polymarket |
37¢ |
$4K |
Jul 1, 2027 |
| 13 |
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
15¢ |
$3K |
Nov 1 |
| 14 |
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
69¢ |
$3K |
Nov 30 |
| 15 |
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$3K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 16 |
Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$2K |
Dec 1 |
| 17 |
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by J...
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$1K |
Jul 1, 2027 |
| 18 |
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by J...
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$877 |
Jul 1, 2027 |
| 19 |
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by J...
|
polymarket |
11¢ |
$640 |
Jul 1, 2027 |