| 1 |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$909K |
Mar 2, 2027 |
| 2 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
86¢ |
$736K |
Mar 2, 2027 |
| 3 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$605K |
Dec 31 |
| 4 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$555K |
Mar 2, 2027 |
| 5 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$536K |
Mar 2, 2027 |
| 6 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$476K |
Mar 2, 2027 |
| 7 |
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below ...
|
polymarket |
26¢ |
$57K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 8 |
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
|
polymarket |
70¢ |
$54K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 9 |
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
|
polymarket |
95¢ |
$10K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 10 |
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$7K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 11 |
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
|
polymarket |
68¢ |
$7K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 12 |
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 13 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$5K |
Dec 8 |
| 14 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$4K |
Dec 8 |
| 15 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$4K |
Dec 8 |
| 16 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$3K |
Dec 8 |
| 17 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$3K |
Dec 8 |
| 18 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$3K |
Dec 8 |
| 19 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 20 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 21 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 22 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 23 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 24 |
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 25 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 26 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 27 |
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 28 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2K |
Dec 8 |
| 29 |
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 30 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$1K |
Dec 8 |
| 31 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$1K |
Dec 8 |
| 32 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$1K |
Dec 8 |
| 33 |
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$997 |
Nov 1 |
| 34 |
California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?
|
polymarket |
15¢ |
$869 |
Mar 16, 2027 |
| 35 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$730 |
Dec 8 |
| 36 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$462 |
Dec 8 |
| 37 |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at leas...
|
polymarket |
98¢ |
$361 |
Nov 1 |
| 38 |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at leas...
|
polymarket |
98¢ |
$295 |
Nov 1 |
| 39 |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at leas...
|
polymarket |
87¢ |
$294 |
Nov 1 |
| 40 |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at leas...
|
polymarket |
62¢ |
$170 |
Nov 1 |
| 41 |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at leas...
|
polymarket |
52¢ |
$170 |
Nov 1 |
| 42 |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at leas...
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$0 |
Nov 1 |
| 43 |
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at leas...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$0 |
Nov 1 |