| 1 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$25.9M |
Jun 15 |
| 2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$17.0M |
Jun 30 |
| 3 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$11.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 4 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
67¢ |
$9.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6.8M |
Jun 15 |
| 6 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$5.8M |
Jul 31 |
| 7 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$5.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 8 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$4.7M |
Jun 15 |
| 9 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 10 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$3.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 11 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$3.6M |
Jul 31 |
| 12 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 13 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$2.7M |
Jun 30 |
| 14 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
|
polymarket |
34¢ |
$2.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 15 |
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$2.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 16 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$1.6M |
Dec 31 |
| 17 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
31¢ |
$1.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 18 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
68¢ |
$1.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 19 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$1.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 20 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$1.1M |
Jun 15 |
| 21 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
40¢ |
$966K |
Aug 31 |
| 22 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
|
polymarket |
72¢ |
$957K |
Dec 31 |
| 23 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$883K |
Jun 30 |
| 24 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$806K |
Jun 30 |
| 25 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$697K |
Jun 30 |
| 26 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
|
polymarket |
56¢ |
$601K |
Jun 30 |
| 27 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
|
polymarket |
21¢ |
$506K |
Jun 30 |
| 28 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
33¢ |
$504K |
Dec 31 |
| 29 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$456K |
Jun 30 |
| 30 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$449K |
Jun 30 |
| 31 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...
|
polymarket |
50¢ |
$407K |
Jul 31 |
| 32 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$390K |
Jul 31 |
| 33 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$386K |
Jun 30 |
| 34 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$371K |
Jun 30 |
| 35 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$327K |
Dec 31 |
| 36 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$325K |
Jun 30 |
| 37 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$321K |
Jun 30 |
| 38 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$312K |
Jun 30 |
| 39 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$273K |
Jun 30 |
| 40 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$271K |
Jun 30 |
| 41 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$260K |
Jun 30 |
| 42 |
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$251K |
Jun 30 |
| 43 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/Nor...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$247K |
Jun 30 |
| 44 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$245K |
Jun 30 |
| 45 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$242K |
Jun 30 |
| 46 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$239K |
Dec 31 |
| 47 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$233K |
Jun 30 |
| 48 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
57¢ |
$227K |
Oct 31 |
| 49 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
|
polymarket |
29¢ |
$223K |
Jul 31 |
| 50 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju...
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$194K |
Jun 30 |