| 1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$6.0M |
Nov 1 |
| 2 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
36¢ |
$4.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$2.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 6 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 1 |
| 7 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$951K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 8 |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
|
polymarket |
39¢ |
$633K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 9 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$545K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 10 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
|
polymarket |
88¢ |
$401K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 11 |
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$366K |
Nov 1 |
| 12 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$359K |
Dec 1 |
| 13 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$346K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 14 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 20...
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$272K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 15 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$268K |
Oct 31 |
| 16 |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 20...
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$236K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 17 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
32¢ |
$212K |
Dec 31 |
| 18 |
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
|
polymarket |
11¢ |
$203K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 19 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$188K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 20 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
|
polymarket |
57¢ |
$164K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 21 |
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$161K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 22 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$149K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 23 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 202...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$149K |
Nov 1 |
| 24 |
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$137K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 25 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$124K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 26 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$103K |
Nov 1 |
| 27 |
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uran...
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$101K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 28 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$85K |
Nov 1 |
| 29 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
26¢ |
$69K |
Dec 1 |
| 30 |
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by Dec...
|
polymarket |
64¢ |
$69K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 31 |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$38K |
Dec 31 |
| 32 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$37K |
Nov 1 |
| 33 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the Unit...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$36K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 34 |
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$33K |
Nov 1 |
| 35 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$28K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 36 |
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$28K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 37 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$26K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 38 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December ...
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$25K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 39 |
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?
|
polymarket |
19¢ |
$25K |
Nov 1 |
| 40 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by...
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$17K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 41 |
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$13K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 42 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$13K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 43 |
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6K |
Nov 1 |
| 44 |
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by Octo...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6K |
Nov 1 |
| 45 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhst...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 46 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 47 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 48 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 49 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia b...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$3K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 50 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$3K |
Nov 1 |