| 1 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
|
polymarket |
19¢ |
$75.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$35.8M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$32.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 4 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$28.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$26.0M |
Dec 31 |
| 6 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$24.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 7 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 m...
|
polymarket |
94¢ |
$20.1M |
Oct 29 |
| 8 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 ...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$15.4M |
Oct 29 |
| 9 |
Trump out as President before 2027?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$13.2M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 10 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$11.2M |
Oct 29 |
| 11 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$11.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 12 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$9.8M |
Oct 29 |
| 13 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$9.8M |
Oct 29 |
| 14 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$9.3M |
Dec 31 |
| 15 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
|
polymarket |
80¢ |
$6.7M |
Oct 31 |
| 16 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$6.0M |
Nov 1 |
| 17 |
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$5.7M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 18 |
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 19 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$4.1M |
Nov 1 |
| 20 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
36¢ |
$4.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 21 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
75¢ |
$3.7M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 22 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
16¢ |
$3.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 23 |
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3.1M |
Dec 31 |
| 24 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
16¢ |
$3.1M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 25 |
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2.8M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 26 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 27 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2.6M |
Nov 1 |
| 28 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 29 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 30 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$2.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 31 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the...
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$2.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 32 |
Will Alberta join the US?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2.2M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 33 |
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 34 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$2.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 35 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$1.8M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 36 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.6M |
Dec 31 |
| 37 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$1.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 38 |
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 39 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$1.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 40 |
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 41 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$1.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 42 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
15¢ |
$1.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 43 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.3M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 44 |
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.3M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 45 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$1.2M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 46 |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
|
polymarket |
77¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 4 |
| 47 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.2M |
Oct 31 |
| 48 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026...
|
polymarket |
76¢ |
$1.2M |
Dec 9 |
| 49 |
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.2M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 50 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$1.1M |
Jan 1, 2027 |