| 1 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
|
polymarket |
25¢ |
$35.9M |
Dec 31 |
| 2 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$33.7M |
Dec 31 |
| 3 |
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$32.3M |
Dec 31 |
| 4 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$25.9M |
Jun 15 |
| 5 |
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$25.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 6 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$19.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 7 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$10.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 8 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
67¢ |
$9.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 9 |
Trump out as President before 2027?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$9.0M |
Dec 31 |
| 10 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$8.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 11 |
Trump out as President by June 30?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 12 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$5.8M |
Jul 31 |
| 13 |
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$5.3M |
Dec 31 |
| 14 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4.6M |
Jun 30 |
| 15 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$3.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 16 |
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 17 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 18 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$2.7M |
Jun 30 |
| 19 |
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 20 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$2.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 21 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the...
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$2.4M |
Dec 9 |
| 22 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$2.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 23 |
Will Alberta join the US?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$2.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 24 |
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$2.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 25 |
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.9M |
Dec 31 |
| 26 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
72¢ |
$1.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 27 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
44¢ |
$1.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 28 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.7M |
Jun 30 |
| 29 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$1.6M |
Dec 31 |
| 30 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$1.6M |
Jun 30 |
| 31 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$1.6M |
Dec 31 |
| 32 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
31¢ |
$1.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 33 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$1.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 34 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
32¢ |
$1.4M |
Dec 9 |
| 35 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
|
polymarket |
48¢ |
$1.3M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 36 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.3M |
Dec 31 |
| 37 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
68¢ |
$1.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 38 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$1.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 39 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$1.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 40 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$1.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 41 |
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.1M |
Dec 31 |
| 42 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$1.1M |
Jun 15 |
| 43 |
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.0M |
Dec 31 |
| 44 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.0M |
Jun 30 |
| 45 |
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$1.0M |
Jun 30 |
| 46 |
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$995K |
Dec 31 |
| 47 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
40¢ |
$966K |
Aug 31 |
| 48 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$963K |
Aug 1, 642035054 |
| 49 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$952K |
Jun 30 |
| 50 |
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$948K |
Dec 31 |