| 1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
|
polymarket |
11¢ |
$15.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3.4M |
Nov 1 |
| 3 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$1.9M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.6M |
Nov 1 |
| 5 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 1 |
| 6 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$1.1M |
Nov 4 |
| 7 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$1.0M |
Dec 1 |
| 8 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$951K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 9 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$895K |
Nov 4 |
| 10 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
|
polymarket |
91¢ |
$723K |
Nov 4 |
| 11 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$698K |
Nov 1 |
| 12 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$600K |
Oct 31 |
| 13 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$525K |
Nov 4 |
| 14 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$473K |
Nov 4 |
| 15 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
|
polymarket |
88¢ |
$401K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 16 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$366K |
Nov 1 |
| 17 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$364K |
Nov 4 |
| 18 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$318K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 19 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$233K |
Nov 1 |
| 20 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
|
polymarket |
33¢ |
$189K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 21 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
|
polymarket |
19¢ |
$159K |
Dec 1 |
| 22 |
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$137K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 23 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$133K |
Dec 1 |
| 24 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$126K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 25 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$125K |
Nov 4 |
| 26 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$123K |
Nov 4 |
| 27 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$116K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 28 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
|
polymarket |
22¢ |
$98K |
Dec 1 |
| 29 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, a...
|
polymarket |
33¢ |
$84K |
Nov 4 |
| 30 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, a...
|
polymarket |
65¢ |
$66K |
Nov 4 |
| 31 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democra...
|
polymarket |
65¢ |
$59K |
Nov 4 |
| 32 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans w...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$55K |
Nov 4 |
| 33 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republi...
|
polymarket |
30¢ |
$51K |
Nov 4 |
| 34 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$45K |
Nov 4 |
| 35 |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$38K |
Dec 31 |
| 36 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
|
polymarket |
29¢ |
$35K |
Nov 4 |
| 37 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$33K |
Nov 4 |
| 38 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$28K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 39 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$26K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 40 |
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-M...
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$25K |
Nov 1 |
| 41 |
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-M...
|
polymarket |
72¢ |
$24K |
Nov 1 |
| 42 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by D...
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$20K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 43 |
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Dec...
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$16K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 44 |
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-M...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$15K |
Nov 1 |
| 45 |
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of ...
|
polymarket |
91¢ |
$14K |
Nov 1 |
| 46 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31,...
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$14K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 47 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$13K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 48 |
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mande...
|
polymarket |
11¢ |
$11K |
Nov 1 |
| 49 |
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$10K |
Nov 1 |
| 50 |
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb S...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$7K |
Nov 1 |