| # |
Market |
Platform |
Yes |
Volume |
End Date |
| 1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$6.0M |
Nov 1 |
| 2 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
36¢ |
$4.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$1.9M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.6M |
Nov 1 |
| 5 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$359K |
Dec 1 |
| 6 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
|
polymarket |
57¢ |
$164K |
Apr 1, 2027 |
| 7 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$133K |
Dec 1 |
| 8 |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$38K |
Dec 31 |
| 9 |
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between Oct...
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$4K |
Nov 2 |
| 10 |
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$4K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 11 |
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 12 |
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26...
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$2K |
Nov 2 |
| 13 |
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
36¢ |
$2K |
Dec 1 |
| 14 |
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between Octobe...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1K |
Nov 2 |
| 15 |
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$1K |
Nov 1 |
| 16 |
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26...
|
polymarket |
38¢ |
$1K |
Nov 2 |
| 17 |
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26...
|
polymarket |
36¢ |
$922 |
Nov 2 |
| 18 |
Panama Canal effectively closed by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$145 |
Nov 1 |
| 19 |
Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$66 |
Dec 1 |
| 20 |
Panama Canal effectively closed by December 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$3 |
Jan 1, 2027 |