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Platforms 2
Active Arbs 138
Volume $9.1B

outage

21076 prediction markets tagged with “outage”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? polymarket 25¢ $79K Dec 31
2 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 a... polymarket 64¢ $17K Nov 1
3 Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? polymarket 76¢ $16K Nov 1
4 Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026? polymarket 99¢ $15K Nov 1
5 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? polymarket <1¢ $14K Nov 1
6 Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? polymarket 97¢ $14K Nov 1
7 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 a... polymarket 20¢ $9K Nov 1
8 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? polymarket 20¢ $9K Nov 1
9 Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? polymarket <1¢ $9K Nov 1
10 Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? polymarket <1¢ $8K Nov 1
11 Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? polymarket <1¢ $6K Nov 1
12 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026? polymarket 98¢ $6K Jan 1, 2027
13 Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October? polymarket <1¢ $5K Nov 1
14 ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? polymarket 2¢ $5K Nov 1
15 AWS service disrupted by November 30? polymarket 24¢ $5K Dec 1
16 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12... polymarket <1¢ $4K Nov 1
17 ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30? polymarket 17¢ $4K Dec 1
18 Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026? polymarket <1¢ $4K Nov 1
19 Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026? polymarket 15¢ $3K Nov 1
20 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1... polymarket <1¢ $3K Nov 1
21 Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $2K Dec 1
22 Critical Discord Incident by October 31? polymarket 6¢ $2K Nov 1
23 GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? polymarket 7¢ $2K Nov 1
24 Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026? polymarket 20¢ $2K Dec 1
25 GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? polymarket 51¢ $2K Nov 1
26 AWS service disrupted by October 31? polymarket 3¢ $2K Nov 1
27 GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026? polymarket 11¢ $1K Nov 1
28 ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $1K Nov 1
29 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 a... polymarket <1¢ $1K Nov 1
30 Another Codex outage in 2026? polymarket 95¢ $1K Jan 1, 2027
31 ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026? polymarket 99¢ $1K Nov 16
32 Will Claude go down 14+ times in October? polymarket <1¢ $1K Nov 1
33 GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026? polymarket 59¢ $1K Nov 16
34 ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026? polymarket 99¢ $1K Nov 1
35 GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026? polymarket 97¢ $930 Nov 16
36 Critical Discord Incident by November 30? polymarket 4¢ $899 Dec 1
37 Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026? polymarket <1¢ $668 Nov 1
38 ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026? polymarket 13¢ $520 Nov 1
39 ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026? polymarket 81¢ $267 Nov 16