Middle East

3400 prediction markets tagged with “Middle East”

#	Market	Platform	Yes	Volume	End Date
1	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	polymarket	1¢	$83.1M	Feb 28
2	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	polymarket	1¢	$51.4M	Mar 31
3	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$11.5M	Mar 31
4	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	polymarket	1¢	$6.3M	Dec 31
5	Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	polymarket	0¢	$4.3M	Feb 28
6	Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	polymarket	1¢	$4.2M	Feb 28
7	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	polymarket	0¢	$3.2M	Jun 30
8	Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	polymarket	0¢	$2.9M	Feb 28
9	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	polymarket	1¢	$2.1M	Dec 31
10	Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	polymarket	0¢	$1.7M	Mar 31
11	Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	polymarket	1¢	$1.5M	Mar 10
12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$1.3M	Jun 30
13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$1.3M	Mar 31
14	Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	polymarket	1¢	$1.2M	Jan 31
15	US strikes Iraq by February 28?	polymarket	0¢	$974K	Feb 28
16	US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	polymarket	0¢	$940K	—
17	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$848K	Dec 31
18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	polymarket	0¢	$677K	Jun 30
19	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$560K	Dec 31, 2025
20	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$535K	Mar 31
21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	polymarket	0¢	$519K	Jun 30
22	US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$491K	Mar 31
23	Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$464K	Dec 31, 2025
24	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?	polymarket	1¢	$422K	Feb 28
25	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$399K	Dec 31
26	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$381K	Dec 31
27	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$347K	Jun 30
28	Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$340K	Mar 31
29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	polymarket	1¢	$337K	Dec 31
30	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	polymarket	0¢	$337K	Dec 31
31	Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$327K	Mar 31
32	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$320K	Dec 31
33	Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	polymarket	1¢	$314K	Mar 10
34	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$308K	Dec 31
35	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	polymarket	0¢	$287K	Mar 31
36	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$283K	Dec 31, 2025
37	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	1¢	$279K	Jun 30
38	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	polymarket	1¢	$272K	Dec 31
39	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$265K	Dec 31
40	Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	polymarket	1¢	$245K	Mar 31
41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	polymarket	1¢	$244K	Jun 30
42	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$243K	Oct 31, 2025
43	Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$238K	Mar 31
44	US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	polymarket	0¢	$232K	—
45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	polymarket	0¢	$231K	Dec 31
46	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	polymarket	1¢	$219K	Jun 30
47	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	polymarket	0¢	$219K	Mar 31
48	Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?	polymarket	0¢	$216K	Mar 31
49	Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	polymarket	1¢	$208K	Feb 28
50	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	0¢	$202K	Jun 30

← All Tags