| 1 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$52.0M |
Jun 30 |
| 2 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
|
polymarket |
25¢ |
$35.9M |
Dec 31 |
| 3 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$25.9M |
Jun 15 |
| 4 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$19.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$17.0M |
Jun 30 |
| 6 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$11.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 7 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
68¢ |
$9.6M |
Dec 31 |
| 8 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$8.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 9 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$7.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 10 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6.8M |
Jun 15 |
| 11 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6.0M |
Jun 30 |
| 12 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$5.9M |
Jul 31 |
| 13 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$5.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 14 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$4.7M |
Jun 15 |
| 15 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$4.4M |
Jun 15 |
| 16 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 17 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$3.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 18 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
|
polymarket |
23¢ |
$3.6M |
Jul 31 |
| 19 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$3.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 20 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$2.9M |
Jun 30 |
| 21 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?
|
polymarket |
29¢ |
$2.8M |
Dec 31 |
| 22 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$2.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 23 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2.8M |
Jun 30 |
| 24 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$2.7M |
Jun 30 |
| 25 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
68¢ |
$2.6M |
Dec 31 |
| 26 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
|
polymarket |
33¢ |
$2.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 27 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$2.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 28 |
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$2.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 29 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
|
polymarket |
61¢ |
$2.1M |
Dec 31 |
| 30 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.9M |
Dec 31 |
| 31 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
|
polymarket |
34¢ |
$1.9M |
Jun 30 |
| 32 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
|
polymarket |
11¢ |
$1.7M |
Dec 31 |
| 33 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.7M |
Jun 30 |
| 34 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$1.6M |
Jun 30 |
| 35 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$1.6M |
Dec 31 |
| 36 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
31¢ |
$1.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 37 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
68¢ |
$1.2M |
Jun 30 |
| 38 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
|
polymarket |
41¢ |
$1.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 39 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$1.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 40 |
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.1M |
Dec 31 |
| 41 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$1.1M |
Jun 15 |
| 42 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
|
polymarket |
98¢ |
$1.1M |
Jun 30 |
| 43 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
41¢ |
$971K |
Aug 31 |
| 44 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$968K |
Aug 1, 642035054 |
| 45 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
|
polymarket |
72¢ |
$957K |
Dec 31 |
| 46 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$904K |
Dec 31 |
| 47 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$883K |
Jun 30 |
| 48 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$806K |
Jun 30 |
| 49 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$777K |
Dec 31 |
| 50 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$718K |
Jun 15 |