| 1 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
|
polymarket |
19¢ |
$75.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$28.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
|
polymarket |
11¢ |
$15.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$11.8M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
84¢ |
$6.9M |
Dec 31 |
| 6 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
|
polymarket |
80¢ |
$6.7M |
Oct 31 |
| 7 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$6.0M |
Nov 1 |
| 8 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$5.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 9 |
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$5.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 10 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
36¢ |
$4.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 11 |
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3.7M |
Dec 31 |
| 12 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$3.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 13 |
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3.4M |
Dec 31 |
| 14 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3.4M |
Nov 1 |
| 15 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
|
polymarket |
84¢ |
$3.2M |
Oct 31 |
| 16 |
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 17 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$2.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 18 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 19 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 20 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2.3M |
Dec 31 |
| 21 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$2.1M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 22 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$2.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 23 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$1.9M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 24 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.6M |
Nov 1 |
| 25 |
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.5M |
Dec 31 |
| 26 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$1.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 27 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
|
polymarket |
65¢ |
$1.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 28 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 1 |
| 29 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
|
polymarket |
35¢ |
$1.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 30 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 1 |
| 31 |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
|
polymarket |
77¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 4 |
| 32 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$1.2M |
Dec 31 |
| 33 |
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.1M |
Dec 31 |
| 34 |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$1.1M |
Nov 4 |
| 35 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
|
polymarket |
86¢ |
$1.1M |
Oct 29 |
| 36 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$1.0M |
Dec 1 |
| 37 |
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.0M |
Dec 31 |
| 38 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$954K |
Dec 31 |
| 39 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$951K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 40 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$929K |
Dec 31 |
| 41 |
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$907K |
Dec 31 |
| 42 |
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$902K |
Nov 1 |
| 43 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
|
polymarket |
34¢ |
$900K |
Nov 30 |
| 44 |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$895K |
Nov 4 |
| 45 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$864K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 46 |
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$860K |
Dec 31 |
| 47 |
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$839K |
Dec 31 |
| 48 |
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$787K |
Dec 31 |
| 49 |
Iran leadership change by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$780K |
Nov 1 |
| 50 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$774K |
Jan 1, 2027 |