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Volume $4.9B

Geopolitics

8720 prediction markets tagged with “Geopolitics”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? polymarket $51.2M Mar 31
2 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $24.8M Dec 31
3 Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $24.0M Dec 31
4 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? polymarket $21.2M Mar 31
5 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? polymarket $11.5M Mar 31
6 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? polymarket $10.8M Dec 31
7 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? polymarket $9.9M Dec 31
8 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? polymarket $8.5M Dec 31
9 Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $7.7M Dec 31
10 Xi Jinping out before 2027? polymarket $6.7M Dec 31
11 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? polymarket $6.3M Dec 31
12 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? polymarket $4.2M Mar 31
13 Trump out as President before 2027? polymarket $3.8M Dec 31
14 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? polymarket $3.2M Jun 30
15 Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026? polymarket $2.5M Dec 31
16 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? polymarket $2.5M Mar 31
17 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026? polymarket $2.4M Mar 31
18 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? polymarket $2.3M Jun 30
19 Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $2.3M Dec 31
20 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? polymarket $2.0M Dec 31
21 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? polymarket $1.9M Oct 10
22 Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $1.9M Dec 31
23 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? polymarket $1.7M Dec 31
24 Will US or Israel strike Iran first? polymarket $1.7M Mar 31
25 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? polymarket $1.5M Mar 10
26 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? polymarket $1.4M Mar 31
27 Xi Jinping out by June 30? polymarket $1.4M Jun 30
28 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $1.3M Dec 31
29 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? polymarket $1.3M Mar 31
30 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? polymarket $1.3M Jun 30
31 Will the US strike Iran next? polymarket $1.2M Dec 31
32 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? polymarket $1.2M Dec 31
33 US strike on Mexico by March 31? polymarket $1.2M Dec 31
34 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $1.1M Dec 31
35 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? polymarket $1.1M Dec 31
36 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? polymarket $1.1M
37 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? polymarket $1.1M Oct 10
38 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $1.0M Dec 31
39 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? polymarket $998K Mar 31
40 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? polymarket $948K Mar 31
41 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? polymarket $945K Dec 31
42 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? polymarket $897K
43 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? polymarket $850K Jun 30
44 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? polymarket $846K Dec 31
45 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? polymarket $761K Mar 31
46 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $757K Dec 31
47 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? polymarket $752K Mar 31
48 Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket $748K Dec 31
49 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? polymarket $733K Mar 31
50 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? polymarket $726K Oct 10