Geopolitics

152616 prediction markets tagged with “Geopolitics”

#	Market	Platform	Yes	Volume	End Date
1	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	polymarket	2¢	$52.1M	Jun 30
2	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	polymarket	25¢	$36.0M	Dec 31
3	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	polymarket	6¢	$34.3M	Dec 31
4	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$32.3M	Dec 31
5	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	polymarket	4¢	$26.2M	Jun 15
6	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$25.4M	Dec 31
7	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	polymarket	14¢	$19.8M	Dec 31
8	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	polymarket	6¢	$17.0M	Jun 30
9	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	polymarket	6¢	$11.4M	Dec 31
10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$10.8M	Jun 30
11	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	polymarket	13¢	$10.2M	Dec 31
12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	polymarket	8¢	$10.1M	Dec 31
13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	polymarket	67¢	$9.8M	Dec 31
14	Trump out as President before 2027?	polymarket	9¢	$9.0M	Dec 31
15	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$8.8M	Dec 31
16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	polymarket	7¢	$8.3M	Jun 30
17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	polymarket	8¢	$7.2M	Dec 31
18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	polymarket	18¢	$7.1M	Jun 30
19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	polymarket	<1¢	$6.8M	Jun 15
20	Netanyahu out by June 30?	polymarket	2¢	$6.0M	Jun 30
21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	polymarket	<1¢	$6.0M	Jun 30
22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	polymarket	28¢	$5.9M	Jul 31
23	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	polymarket	100¢	$5.8M	Jun 30
24	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$5.3M	Dec 31
25	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	polymarket	100¢	$4.7M	Jun 15
26	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$4.6M	Jun 30
27	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	polymarket	20¢	$4.4M	Jun 15
28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	polymarket	<1¢	$4.1M	Jun 30
29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	polymarket	37¢	$3.8M	Dec 31
30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	5¢	$3.8M	Jun 30
31	Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$3.8M	Dec 31
32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	polymarket	23¢	$3.7M	Jul 31
33	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	polymarket	7¢	$3.6M	Oct 10
34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	polymarket	1¢	$3.5M	Jun 30
35	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	polymarket	1¢	$3.3M	Jun 30
36	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	4¢	$3.1M	Jun 30
37	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	polymarket	3¢	$3.0M	Jun 30
38	Iran leadership change by June 30?	polymarket	6¢	$2.9M	Jun 30
39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	polymarket	29¢	$2.8M	Dec 31
40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	polymarket	2¢	$2.8M	Jun 30
41	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	polymarket	2¢	$2.8M	Jun 30
42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	polymarket	16¢	$2.8M	Dec 31
43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra...	polymarket	24¢	$2.7M	Jun 30
44	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	polymarket	68¢	$2.6M	Dec 31
45	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	polymarket	<1¢	$2.5M	Dec 31
46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	polymarket	10¢	$2.4M	Dec 31
47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	polymarket	34¢	$2.2M	Jun 30
48	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	polymarket	26¢	$2.2M	Dec 31
49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	polymarket	9¢	$2.2M	Jun 30
50	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	polymarket	100¢	$2.2M	Jun 30

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