| 1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 m...
|
polymarket |
94¢ |
$20.1M |
Oct 29 |
| 2 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 ...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$15.4M |
Oct 29 |
| 3 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$11.2M |
Oct 29 |
| 4 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$9.8M |
Oct 29 |
| 5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$9.8M |
Oct 29 |
| 6 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026...
|
polymarket |
76¢ |
$1.2M |
Dec 9 |
| 7 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 ...
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$1.0M |
Dec 9 |
| 8 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.0M |
Dec 9 |
| 9 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 202...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$806K |
Dec 9 |
| 10 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 202...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$639K |
Dec 9 |
| 11 |
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
|
polymarket |
22¢ |
$533K |
Dec 31 |
| 12 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 ...
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$285K |
Jan 28, 2027 |
| 13 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 m...
|
polymarket |
67¢ |
$221K |
Jan 28, 2027 |
| 14 |
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
|
polymarket |
71¢ |
$201K |
Dec 31 |
| 15 |
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$183K |
Dec 31 |
| 16 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$168K |
Jan 28, 2027 |
| 17 |
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec...
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$137K |
Dec 9 |
| 18 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$137K |
Jan 28, 2027 |
| 19 |
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)...
|
polymarket |
74¢ |
$125K |
Dec 9 |
| 20 |
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$107K |
Dec 9 |
| 21 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$101K |
Jan 28, 2027 |
| 22 |
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$84K |
Dec 31 |
| 23 |
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$78K |
Dec 31 |
| 24 |
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$66K |
Dec 9 |
| 25 |
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
|
polymarket |
98¢ |
$55K |
Oct 27 |
| 26 |
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan...
|
polymarket |
58¢ |
$44K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 27 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–D...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$32K |
Dec 9 |
| 28 |
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$31K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 29 |
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$29K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 30 |
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$22K |
Jul 1, 2027 |
| 31 |
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)...
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$16K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 32 |
Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$4K |
Oct 28 |
| 33 |
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$3K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 34 |
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Confe...
|
polymarket |
27¢ |
$2K |
Oct 28 |
| 35 |
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan...
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$2K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 36 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-J...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 37 |
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 38 |
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Ja...
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$2K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 39 |
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1K |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 40 |
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$955 |
Jan 27, 2027 |
| 41 |
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Octob...
|
polymarket |
42¢ |
$806 |
Oct 28 |
| 42 |
Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Confer...
|
polymarket |
59¢ |
$527 |
Oct 28 |
| 43 |
Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
31¢ |
$445 |
Oct 28 |
| 44 |
Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$444 |
Oct 28 |
| 45 |
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$159 |
Oct 28 |
| 46 |
Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
59¢ |
$155 |
Oct 28 |
| 47 |
Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
81¢ |
$142 |
Oct 28 |
| 48 |
Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
60¢ |
$100 |
Oct 28 |
| 49 |
Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Confer...
|
polymarket |
22¢ |
$98 |
Oct 28 |
| 50 |
Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during Oc...
|
polymarket |
57¢ |
$90 |
Oct 28 |