| 1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the...
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$2.4M |
Dec 9 |
| 2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
32¢ |
$1.4M |
Dec 9 |
| 3 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$522K |
Dec 9 |
| 4 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$462K |
Dec 9 |
| 5 |
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$427K |
— |
| 6 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$418K |
Dec 9 |
| 7 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$253K |
Dec 9 |
| 8 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$219K |
Dec 9 |
| 9 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$196K |
Dec 9 |
| 10 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$165K |
Dec 9 |
| 11 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$140K |
Dec 9 |
| 12 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$137K |
Dec 9 |
| 13 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$136K |
Dec 9 |
| 14 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
|
polymarket |
38¢ |
$131K |
Dec 31 |
| 15 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$76K |
Dec 9 |
| 16 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$53K |
Dec 9 |
| 17 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$47K |
Dec 9 |
| 18 |
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$12K |
Jun 30 |
| 19 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$9K |
Dec 31 |
| 20 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2...
|
polymarket |
84¢ |
$8K |
Dec 31 |
| 21 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026...
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$7K |
Dec 31 |
| 22 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or ...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$6K |
Dec 31 |
| 23 |
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$4K |
Dec 31 |
| 24 |
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
77¢ |
$4K |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 25 |
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$3K |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 26 |
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conferenc...
|
polymarket |
35¢ |
$2K |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 27 |
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$1K |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 28 |
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
35¢ |
$1K |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 29 |
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
40¢ |
$696 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 30 |
Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
38¢ |
$632 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 31 |
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
50¢ |
$369 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 32 |
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
79¢ |
$364 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 33 |
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Con...
|
polymarket |
41¢ |
$265 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 34 |
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Con...
|
polymarket |
75¢ |
$210 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 35 |
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
75¢ |
$163 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 36 |
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
61¢ |
$162 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 37 |
Will Warsh say "Rate" or "Cut" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
93¢ |
$118 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 38 |
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
32¢ |
$102 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 39 |
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
52¢ |
$65 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 40 |
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Confere...
|
polymarket |
29¢ |
$51 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 41 |
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
40¢ |
$50 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 42 |
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
64¢ |
$29 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 43 |
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
42¢ |
$25 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 44 |
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
73¢ |
$22 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 45 |
Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
51¢ |
$20 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 46 |
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
73¢ |
$20 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 47 |
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
50¢ |
$16 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 48 |
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
40¢ |
$15 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 49 |
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
40¢ |
$15 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |
| 50 |
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
23¢ |
$6 |
Aug 22, 642035084 |