| 1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the...
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$2.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
15¢ |
$1.4M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
69¢ |
$581K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$541K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$504K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 6 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$278K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 7 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$272K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 8 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$209K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 9 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$187K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 10 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$183K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 11 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$156K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 12 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$156K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 13 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$153K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 14 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$97K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 15 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$88K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 16 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$75K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 17 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026...
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$12K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 18 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2...
|
polymarket |
96¢ |
$11K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 19 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
16¢ |
$7K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 20 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or ...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$6K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 21 |
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$6K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 22 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$4K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 23 |
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Confe...
|
polymarket |
27¢ |
$2K |
Oct 28 |
| 24 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 25 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 26 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 27 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 28 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 29 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$1K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 30 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the ...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 31 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1K |
Nov 1 |
| 32 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$955 |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 33 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$950 |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 34 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the ...
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$858 |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 35 |
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Octob...
|
polymarket |
42¢ |
$806 |
Oct 28 |
| 36 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$781 |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 37 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥6.0% at the ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$703 |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 38 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the e...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$564 |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 39 |
Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Confer...
|
polymarket |
59¢ |
$527 |
Oct 28 |
| 40 |
Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
31¢ |
$445 |
Oct 28 |
| 41 |
Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$444 |
Oct 28 |
| 42 |
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$159 |
Oct 28 |
| 43 |
Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
59¢ |
$155 |
Oct 28 |
| 44 |
Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
81¢ |
$142 |
Oct 28 |
| 45 |
Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
60¢ |
$100 |
Oct 28 |
| 46 |
Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Confer...
|
polymarket |
22¢ |
$98 |
Oct 28 |
| 47 |
Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during Oc...
|
polymarket |
57¢ |
$90 |
Oct 28 |
| 48 |
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?
|
polymarket |
92¢ |
$81 |
Oct 28 |
| 49 |
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" or "Recession" during October Press Conferen...
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$65 |
Oct 28 |
| 50 |
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press C...
|
polymarket |
59¢ |
$50 |
Oct 28 |