| 1 |
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$522K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$415K |
Nov 1 |
| 3 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
|
polymarket |
98¢ |
$283K |
Oct 30 |
| 4 |
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$248K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$212K |
Oct 30 |
| 6 |
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$109K |
Nov 16 |
| 7 |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December...
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$95K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 8 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$86K |
Oct 30 |
| 9 |
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$84K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 10 |
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and Oct...
|
polymarket |
86¢ |
$78K |
Oct 31 |
| 11 |
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$73K |
Nov 1 |
| 12 |
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1...
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$64K |
Nov 1 |
| 13 |
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2...
|
polymarket |
95¢ |
$54K |
Nov 2 |
| 14 |
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and Oc...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$47K |
Nov 2 |
| 15 |
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$45K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 16 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$41K |
Oct 30 |
| 17 |
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$37K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 18 |
ECB rate cut in 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$37K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 19 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$36K |
Oct 30 |
| 20 |
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
|
polymarket |
39¢ |
$34K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 21 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$32K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 22 |
Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$31K |
Oct 31 |
| 23 |
Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$29K |
Dec 31 |
| 24 |
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$29K |
Nov 15 |
| 25 |
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$27K |
Dec 1 |
| 26 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$27K |
Jan 20, 2027 |
| 27 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?
|
polymarket |
48¢ |
$20K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 28 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$19K |
Nov 1 |
| 29 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
|
polymarket |
40¢ |
$19K |
Feb 1, 2027 |
| 30 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
|
polymarket |
78¢ |
$19K |
Dec 17 |
| 31 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
|
polymarket |
83¢ |
$18K |
Jan 19, 2027 |
| 32 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$18K |
Jan 20, 2027 |
| 33 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$17K |
Jan 19, 2027 |
| 34 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$17K |
Jan 20, 2027 |
| 35 |
Denmark snap election called by December 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$15K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 36 |
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$14K |
Nov 1 |
| 37 |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of Octob...
|
polymarket |
94¢ |
$12K |
Nov 1 |
| 38 |
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?
|
polymarket |
23¢ |
$12K |
Jan 1, 2028 |
| 39 |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of Octob...
|
polymarket |
83¢ |
$12K |
Nov 1 |
| 40 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
|
polymarket |
17¢ |
$11K |
Dec 17 |
| 41 |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of Octob...
|
polymarket |
75¢ |
$11K |
Nov 1 |
| 42 |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of Decem...
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$10K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 43 |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of Novem...
|
polymarket |
47¢ |
$10K |
Dec 1 |
| 44 |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$9K |
Oct 31 |
| 45 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$8K |
Jan 20, 2027 |
| 46 |
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$8K |
Nov 1 |
| 47 |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of Octob...
|
polymarket |
91¢ |
$8K |
Nov 1 |
| 48 |
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
|
polymarket |
16¢ |
$8K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 49 |
Sweden snap election called in 2026?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$7K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 50 |
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?
|
polymarket |
19¢ |
$7K |
Jan 1, 2027 |