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Economic Policy

1865 prediction markets tagged with “Economic Policy”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m... polymarket 0¢ $78.0M Mar 18
2 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m... polymarket 0¢ $66.6M Mar 18
3 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee... polymarket 1¢ $23.8M Mar 18
4 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me... polymarket 0¢ $23.7M Mar 18
5 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $1.6M Dec 31
6 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $1.3M Dec 31
7 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m... polymarket 0¢ $1.3M Apr 29
8 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m... polymarket 0¢ $939K Apr 29
9 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me... polymarket 0¢ $827K Apr 29
10 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $790K Dec 31
11 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? polymarket 0¢ $723K May 14
12 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? polymarket 0¢ $670K May 14
13 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee... polymarket 1¢ $629K Apr 29
14 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $532K Dec 31
15 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $485K Dec 31
16 Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $470K Dec 31
17 Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $389K Dec 31
18 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $379K Dec 31
19 Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $351K Dec 31
20 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $346K Dec 31
21 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $345K Dec 31
22 Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $330K Dec 31
23 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $312K Dec 31
24 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet... polymarket 0¢ $300K Jun 17
25 US recession by end of 2026? polymarket 0¢ $290K Jan 31, 2027
26 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–M... polymarket 0¢ $247K Mar 18
27 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? polymarket 1¢ $241K Mar 19
28 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? polymarket 0¢ $237K Mar 18
29 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)... polymarket 1¢ $226K Mar 18
30 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? polymarket 1¢ $221K Dec 31
31 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? polymarket 1¢ $182K Dec 31
32 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? polymarket 0¢ $161K Mar 19
33 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? polymarket 0¢ $155K Mar 18
34 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? polymarket 0¢ $142K Dec 31
35 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 mee... polymarket 0¢ $136K Mar 19
36 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meet... polymarket 0¢ $135K Mar 19
37 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me... polymarket 0¢ $106K Jun 17
38 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee... polymarket 0¢ $96K Jun 17
39 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee... polymarket 0¢ $89K Jun 17
40 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the ... polymarket 0¢ $81K Dec 9
41 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting? polymarket 1¢ $77K Mar 19
42 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me... polymarket 0¢ $75K Jun 17
43 Fed rate hike in 2026? polymarket 0¢ $69K Dec 9
44 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? polymarket 0¢ $65K Apr 29
45 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting? polymarket 0¢ $51K Mar 19
46 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? polymarket 1¢ $47K Dec 31
47 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting? polymarket 0¢ $46K Mar 19
48 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? polymarket 1¢ $45K Dec 31
49 Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates polymarket 1¢ $43K Mar 20
50 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting? polymarket 0¢ $42K Mar 19
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