| 1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
|
polymarket |
11¢ |
$15.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
13¢ |
$3.6M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20...
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$2.5M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$2.0M |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 6 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 1 |
| 7 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$1.2M |
Nov 1 |
| 8 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$951K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 9 |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
|
polymarket |
39¢ |
$633K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 10 |
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$366K |
Nov 1 |
| 11 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$276K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 12 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$268K |
Oct 31 |
| 13 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
32¢ |
$212K |
Dec 31 |
| 14 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$169K |
Dec 1 |
| 15 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 202...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$149K |
Nov 1 |
| 16 |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$139K |
Dec 31 |
| 17 |
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$137K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 18 |
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 3...
|
polymarket |
27¢ |
$110K |
Dec 31 |
| 19 |
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic m...
|
polymarket |
30¢ |
$105K |
Dec 31 |
| 20 |
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 3...
|
polymarket |
31¢ |
$100K |
Dec 31 |
| 21 |
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, ...
|
polymarket |
17¢ |
$97K |
Dec 31 |
| 22 |
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2...
|
polymarket |
15¢ |
$89K |
Dec 31 |
| 23 |
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$85K |
Oct 31 |
| 24 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian ...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$85K |
Nov 1 |
| 25 |
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 3...
|
polymarket |
17¢ |
$84K |
Dec 31 |
| 26 |
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Decemb...
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$82K |
Dec 31 |
| 27 |
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31...
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$81K |
Dec 31 |
| 28 |
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting b...
|
polymarket |
18¢ |
$78K |
Dec 31 |
| 29 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
26¢ |
$69K |
Dec 1 |
| 30 |
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by Dec...
|
polymarket |
64¢ |
$69K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 31 |
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Dec...
|
polymarket |
25¢ |
$67K |
Dec 31 |
| 32 |
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$66K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 33 |
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31,...
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$65K |
Dec 31 |
| 34 |
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31...
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$56K |
Dec 31 |
| 35 |
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Decemb...
|
polymarket |
24¢ |
$55K |
Dec 31 |
| 36 |
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31...
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$43K |
Dec 31 |
| 37 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Dece...
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$40K |
Dec 31 |
| 38 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the Unit...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$36K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 39 |
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$34K |
Dec 31 |
| 40 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Decembe...
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$32K |
Dec 31 |
| 41 |
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31...
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$29K |
Dec 31 |
| 42 |
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December ...
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$22K |
Dec 31 |
| 43 |
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31...
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$20K |
Dec 31 |
| 44 |
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by...
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$17K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 45 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$8K |
Jul 1, 2027 |
| 46 |
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
96¢ |
$8K |
Nov 1 |
| 47 |
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2...
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$6K |
Dec 31 |
| 48 |
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$6K |
Nov 1 |
| 49 |
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
99¢ |
$5K |
Nov 1 |
| 50 |
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?
|
polymarket |
20¢ |
$4K |
Dec 1 |