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Derivatives

31634 prediction markets tagged with “Derivatives”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket 24¢ $61K Oct 31
2 Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31? polymarket <1¢ $58K Nov 1
3 No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? polymarket 98¢ $55K Oct 27
4 Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? polymarket 8¢ $55K Nov 1
5 Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? polymarket 3¢ $46K Nov 1
6 Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? polymarket 16¢ $40K Nov 1
7 Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket 22¢ $38K Oct 31
8 House favorite on November 2 wins the election? polymarket 92¢ $38K Nov 4
9 Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? polymarket 32¢ $37K Nov 1
10 Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? polymarket <1¢ $36K Nov 1
11 Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31? polymarket 5¢ $34K Nov 1
12 Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? polymarket <1¢ $32K Nov 3
13 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October ... polymarket 35¢ $31K Oct 31
14 Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? polymarket 17¢ $26K Nov 1
15 Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? polymarket <1¢ $22K Nov 1
16 Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31? polymarket <1¢ $19K Nov 1
17 Senate control favorite on November 2? polymarket 96¢ $17K Nov 3
18 Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? polymarket 23¢ $17K Nov 3
19 Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2? polymarket 4¢ $16K Nov 3
20 Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? polymarket <1¢ $14K Nov 3
21 Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2? polymarket 3¢ $12K Nov 3
22 Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? polymarket 27¢ $12K Nov 3
23 JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? polymarket 88¢ $11K Nov 30
24 Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? polymarket 93¢ $10K Nov 3
25 Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2? polymarket <1¢ $10K Nov 3
26 Texas Senate favorite on November 2? polymarket 86¢ $10K Nov 3
27 Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31? polymarket <1¢ $7K Nov 1
28 Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2? polymarket 16¢ $7K Nov 3
29 Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2? polymarket 51¢ $6K Nov 3
30 Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2? polymarket 5¢ $6K Nov 3
31 JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket 97¢ $6K Oct 31
32 Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27? polymarket <1¢ $4K Oct 28
33 Ohio Senate favorite on November 2? polymarket 96¢ $4K Nov 3
34 Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket <1¢ $3K Oct 31
35 House control favorite on November 2? polymarket 98¢ $3K Nov 3
36 Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2? polymarket 12¢ $2K Nov 3
37 Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket <1¢ $2K Oct 31
38 Republican Senate odds hit 55% by October 31? polymarket <1¢ $2K Nov 1
39 Ron DeSantis Republican nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket <1¢ $1K Oct 31
40 Republican Senate odds hit 60% by October 31? polymarket <1¢ $1K Nov 1
41 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? polymarket <1¢ $1K Nov 30
42 Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2? polymarket 7¢ $796 Nov 3
43 Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket <1¢ $723 Oct 31
44 Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? polymarket 5¢ $671 Nov 30
45 Tucker Carlson Republican nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket <1¢ $616 Oct 31
46 Kamala Harris 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? polymarket <1¢ $611 Nov 30
47 Donald Trump Jr. Republican nomination odds leader on October 31? polymarket <1¢ $596 Oct 31
48 Marco Rubio 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? polymarket <1¢ $526 Nov 30
49 Gavin Newsom 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? polymarket <1¢ $445 Nov 30
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