| 1 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
|
polymarket |
8¢ |
$205K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2 |
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 202...
|
polymarket |
15¢ |
$109K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3 |
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$66K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 4 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
|
polymarket |
14¢ |
$45K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 5 |
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$44K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 6 |
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2...
|
polymarket |
9¢ |
$43K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 7 |
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?
|
polymarket |
99¢ |
$19K |
Nov 1 |
| 8 |
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$17K |
Nov 1 |
| 9 |
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$14K |
Nov 1 |
| 10 |
Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$13K |
Nov 1 |
| 11 |
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$11K |
Nov 1 |
| 12 |
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$11K |
Nov 1 |
| 13 |
SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$8K |
Nov 1 |
| 14 |
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?
|
polymarket |
12¢ |
$7K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 15 |
Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$7K |
Nov 1 |
| 16 |
Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$7K |
Nov 1 |
| 17 |
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
|
polymarket |
7¢ |
$6K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 18 |
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?
|
polymarket |
28¢ |
$6K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 19 |
ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$5K |
Nov 1 |
| 20 |
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$5K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 21 |
DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$4K |
Nov 1 |
| 22 |
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$4K |
Nov 1 |
| 23 |
Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$3K |
Nov 1 |
| 24 |
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?
|
polymarket |
26¢ |
$3K |
Nov 1 |
| 25 |
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?
|
polymarket |
55¢ |
$3K |
Nov 1 |
| 26 |
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
|
polymarket |
10¢ |
$3K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 27 |
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
|
polymarket |
41¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 28 |
Amazon announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 29 |
Meta announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 30 |
Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 31 |
Microsoft announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 32 |
Astra removed from public access by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 33 |
Google announces a full training pause in 2026?
|
polymarket |
4¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 34 |
Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
|
polymarket |
2¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 35 |
OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?
|
polymarket |
6¢ |
$2K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 36 |
SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$2K |
Nov 1 |
| 37 |
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?
|
polymarket |
75¢ |
$2K |
Nov 16 |
| 38 |
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?
|
polymarket |
100¢ |
$1K |
Nov 1 |
| 39 |
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$1K |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 40 |
Google announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$1K |
Nov 1 |
| 41 |
SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$999 |
Jan 1, 2027 |
| 42 |
ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$955 |
Nov 1 |
| 43 |
DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$855 |
Nov 1 |
| 44 |
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
3¢ |
$786 |
Nov 1 |
| 45 |
Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$723 |
Nov 1 |
| 46 |
Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
1¢ |
$621 |
Nov 1 |
| 47 |
Alibaba announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
5¢ |
$598 |
Nov 1 |
| 48 |
Meituan announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$539 |
Nov 1 |
| 49 |
Baidu announces a training pause by October 31?
|
polymarket |
<1¢ |
$512 |
Nov 1 |