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Markets 446726
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 127
Volume $9.1B

AI Releases

130100 prediction markets tagged with “AI Releases”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 46¢ $353K Oct 31
2 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $271K Nov 1
3 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 3¢ $182K Nov 1
4 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2... polymarket 93¢ $173K Nov 1
5 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 11¢ $117K Oct 31
6 Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? polymarket 53¢ $108K Nov 1
7 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2... polymarket 95¢ $94K Oct 31
8 Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $91K Dec 1
9 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? polymarket 84¢ $88K Dec 31
10 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? polymarket 6¢ $84K Jan 1, 2027
11 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard d... polymarket 23¢ $73K Jan 1, 2027
12 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard d... polymarket 21¢ $65K —
13 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard d... polymarket 22¢ $65K —
14 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard d... polymarket 18¢ $59K —
15 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard d... polymarket 24¢ $56K —
16 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket 100¢ $52K Dec 31
17 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $50K Oct 31
18 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1... polymarket <1¢ $48K Jul 1, 2027
19 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket <1¢ $46K Dec 31
20 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? polymarket 41¢ $43K Oct 30
21 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 26¢ $42K Jan 1, 2027
22 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1... polymarket <1¢ $40K Jul 1, 2027
23 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 9¢ $36K Jan 1, 2027
24 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? polymarket 94¢ $36K Dec 31
25 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket 98¢ $36K Dec 31
26 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? polymarket 16¢ $35K Oct 28
27 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 2¢ $33K Nov 1
28 Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire? polymarket <1¢ $32K Dec 31
29 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1... polymarket 97¢ $32K Jul 1, 2027
30 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or hi... polymarket 100¢ $30K Jul 1, 2027
31 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1... polymarket <1¢ $28K Jul 1, 2027
32 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or hi... polymarket <1¢ $27K Jul 1, 2027
33 Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $25K Nov 1
34 Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026? polymarket <1¢ $23K Oct 31
35 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? polymarket 46¢ $23K Nov 1
36 Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam s... polymarket 100¢ $22K Jun 30, 2027
37 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by ... polymarket 78¢ $21K Jul 1, 2027
38 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 24¢ $21K Jan 1, 2027
39 Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze? polymarket <1¢ $21K Dec 31
40 Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? polymarket <1¢ $20K Nov 1
41 Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon? polymarket <1¢ $20K Dec 31
42 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? polymarket 84¢ $20K Dec 1
43 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? polymarket 22¢ $19K Oct 28
44 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? polymarket 38¢ $19K Mar 31, 2027
45 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or hi... polymarket 100¢ $19K Jul 1, 2027
46 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket 100¢ $19K Dec 31
47 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? polymarket 44¢ $19K Oct 31
48 Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 202... polymarket 92¢ $19K Oct 31
49 Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam s... polymarket 100¢ $19K Jun 30, 2027
50 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or hi... polymarket 100¢ $18K Jul 1, 2027
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