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Markets 443132
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 127
Volume $9.0B

AI Benchmarks

72246 prediction markets tagged with “AI Benchmarks”

# Market Platform Yes Volume End Date
1 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? polymarket 12¢ $337K Jan 1, 2027
2 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December ... polymarket 21¢ $228K Jan 1, 2027
3 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? polymarket 37¢ $124K Jan 1, 2027
4 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December ... polymarket 63¢ $102K Jan 1, 2028
5 Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved ... polymarket 35¢ $87K Jan 1, 2028
6 Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? polymarket 34¢ $85K Jan 1, 2028
7 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? polymarket 19¢ $76K Jan 1, 2027
8 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humani... polymarket 30¢ $67K Jan 1, 2027
9 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s... polymarket 52¢ $66K Jan 1, 2027
10 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60%... polymarket 38¢ $62K Jan 1, 2027
11 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? polymarket 37¢ $60K Jan 1, 2027
12 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last ... polymarket 21¢ $56K Jan 1, 2027
13 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by Dece... polymarket 22¢ $55K Jan 1, 2027
14 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 5¢ $53K Jan 1, 2027
15 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket 100¢ $52K Dec 31
16 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humani... polymarket 100¢ $51K Jan 1, 2027
17 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s... polymarket 98¢ $51K Jan 1, 2027
18 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s... polymarket 100¢ $49K Jan 1, 2027
19 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket <1¢ $46K Dec 31
20 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s... polymarket 86¢ $45K Jan 1, 2027
21 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s... polymarket 39¢ $43K Jan 1, 2027
22 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humani... polymarket 12¢ $43K Jan 1, 2027
23 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 26¢ $42K Jan 1, 2027
24 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last ... polymarket 70¢ $42K Jan 1, 2027
25 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? polymarket 5¢ $41K Jan 1, 2027
26 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? polymarket 6¢ $39K Jan 1, 2027
27 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s... polymarket 31¢ $39K Jan 1, 2027
28 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium P... polymarket 16¢ $39K Jan 1, 2028
29 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s... polymarket 15¢ $37K Jan 1, 2027
30 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 9¢ $36K Jan 1, 2027
31 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket 98¢ $36K Dec 31
32 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65%... polymarket 16¢ $33K Jan 1, 2027
33 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or hi... polymarket 100¢ $30K Jul 1, 2027
34 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last ... polymarket <1¢ $28K Jan 1, 2027
35 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or hi... polymarket <1¢ $27K Jul 1, 2027
36 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by Dece... polymarket 6¢ $27K Jan 1, 2027
37 Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millenn... polymarket 10¢ $27K Jan 1, 2028
38 Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solve... polymarket <1¢ $24K Jan 1, 2028
39 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s... polymarket 19¢ $22K Jan 1, 2027
40 Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam s... polymarket 100¢ $22K Jun 30, 2027
41 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 20... polymarket 7¢ $21K Jan 1, 2027
42 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 24¢ $21K Jan 1, 2027
43 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s... polymarket 15¢ $21K Jan 1, 2027
44 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 6¢ $21K Jan 1, 2027
45 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or hi... polymarket 100¢ $19K Jul 1, 2027
46 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam scor... polymarket 100¢ $19K Dec 31
47 Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam s... polymarket 100¢ $19K Jun 30, 2027
48 Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or hi... polymarket 100¢ $18K Jul 1, 2027
49 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s... polymarket 9¢ $18K Jan 1, 2027
50 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exa... polymarket 27¢ $17K Jan 1, 2027
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