Live
Markets 59807
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 8775
Volume $4.9B

Politics Predictions & Live Odds

Markets 9818
Type category
Active Arbs 9
# Market Platform Yes No Volume End Date
1 Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair? kalshi 0¢ 100¢ $102.7M Jan 20, 2029
2 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $101.9M Dec 31
3 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? polymarket 1¢ 99¢ $51.4M Mar 31
4 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? polymarket 1¢ 99¢ $44.6M Dec 31
5 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $40.4M Nov 7, 2028
6 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $38.6M Dec 31
7 Will Trump next nominate Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair? kalshi 1¢ 99¢ $36.5M Jan 20, 2029
8 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $36.2M Nov 7, 2028
9 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $32.8M Nov 7, 2028
10 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $32.6M Nov 7, 2028
11 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $32.4M Nov 7, 2028
12 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $32.2M Nov 7, 2028
13 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $32.1M Dec 31
14 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $31.4M Nov 7, 2028
15 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $30.7M Nov 7, 2028
16 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $30.6M Nov 7, 2028
17 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $30.2M Nov 7, 2028
18 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $29.4M Dec 31
19 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $29.1M Nov 7, 2028
20 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $29.0M Dec 31
21 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $28.2M Nov 7, 2028
22 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $27.8M Nov 7, 2028
23 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $27.8M Dec 31
24 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $27.6M Nov 7, 2028
25 Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $27.5M Nov 7, 2028
26 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $25.6M Nov 7, 2028
27 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $25.6M Nov 7, 2028
28 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $25.2M Dec 31
29 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $24.8M Dec 31
30 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $24.6M Nov 7, 2028
31 Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $24.5M Dec 31
32 Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $24.0M Dec 31
33 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $23.9M Nov 7, 2028
34 Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $23.6M Dec 31
35 Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $23.3M Nov 7, 2028
36 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $23.3M Dec 31
37 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $23.3M Nov 7, 2028
38 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $22.4M Nov 7, 2028
39 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $22.0M Nov 7, 2028
40 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $21.5M Nov 7, 2028
41 Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $21.3M Dec 31
42 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $21.2M Mar 31
43 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $21.1M Nov 7, 2028
44 Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $21.1M Dec 31
45 Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $20.9M Dec 31
46 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $20.9M Dec 31
47 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $20.6M Dec 31
48 Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $20.4M Nov 7, 2028
49 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $20.1M Nov 7, 2028
50 Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $20.1M Nov 7, 2028
51 Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $20.0M Nov 7, 2028
52 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $19.5M Nov 7, 2028
53 Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin... polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $18.4M Nov 7, 2028
54 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $18.2M Nov 7, 2028
55 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $18.1M Nov 7, 2028
56 Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $17.9M Dec 31
57 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $17.8M Nov 7, 2028
58 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $17.6M Nov 7, 2028
59 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $17.2M Nov 7, 2028
60 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $17.0M Nov 7, 2028
61 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $16.3M Nov 7, 2028
62 Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $16.2M Nov 7, 2028
63 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $14.7M Nov 7, 2028
64 Will Trump next nominate Rick Rieder as Fed Chair? kalshi 0¢ 100¢ $14.4M Jan 20, 2029
65 Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $14.2M Nov 7, 2028
66 Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $13.9M Nov 7, 2028
67 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $13.7M Nov 7, 2028
68 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $13.6M Nov 7, 2028
69 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $13.5M Nov 7, 2028
70 Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $13.2M Nov 7, 2028
71 Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair? kalshi 0¢ 100¢ $13.2M Jan 20, 2029
72 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $13.1M Nov 7, 2028
73 Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $12.6M Dec 31
74 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $12.6M Nov 7, 2028
75 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $12.2M Dec 31
76 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $12.1M Nov 7, 2028
77 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $11.8M Nov 7, 2028
78 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $11.5M Mar 31
79 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $11.4M Nov 7, 2028
80 Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $10.8M Dec 31
81 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $10.8M Dec 31
82 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $10.5M Nov 7, 2028
83 Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $10.3M Dec 31
84 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $10.2M Nov 7, 2028
85 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $9.9M Dec 31
86 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $9.9M Nov 7, 2028
87 Will Trump next nominate Christopher Waller as Fed Chair? kalshi 0¢ 100¢ $9.8M Jan 20, 2029
88 Will Trump next nominate Michelle Bowman as Fed Chair? kalshi 0¢ 100¢ $9.7M Jan 20, 2029
89 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $9.6M Jul 31
90 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina... polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $8.9M Nov 7, 2028
91 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $8.7M Apr 12
92 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $8.7M Nov 7, 2028
93 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $8.5M Dec 31
94 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $8.4M Nov 7, 2028
95 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $7.9M Nov 7, 2028
96 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $7.8M Nov 7, 2028
97 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $7.7M Nov 7, 2028
98 Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $7.7M Dec 31
99 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $7.6M Nov 7, 2028
100 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? polymarket 0¢ 100¢ $7.5M Nov 7, 2028

Arbitrage Opportunities

Poly Kalshi
7990 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Bid 0.93 · Ask 0.93 · Vol $44.6M
Kalshi
Will Kevin Cash win AL MOTY?
Bid 0.06 · Ask 0.11 · Vol $9K
Poly Kalshi
7372 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Bid 0.93 · Ask 0.93 · Vol $44.6M
Kalshi
Will Kevin McGonigle win AL ROTY?
Bid 0.10 · Ask 0.17 · Vol $862
Poly Kalshi
2135 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Bid 0.11 · Ask 0.11 · Vol $29.0M
Kalshi
Will Donald Trump visit Denmark (incl. Greenland) before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.34 · Ask 0.39 · Vol $6K
Poly Kalshi
1984 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bid 0.26 · Ask 0.26 · Vol $8.4M
Kalshi
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
Bid 0.04 · Ask 0.05 · Vol $59K
Poly Kalshi
240 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bid 0.02 · Ask 0.02 · Vol $7.6M
Kalshi
Will Mark Kelly be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
Bid 0.05 · Ask 0.06 · Vol $12K
Poly Kalshi
179 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Bid 0.24 · Ask 0.24 · Vol $11.5M
Kalshi
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before April?
Bid 0.20 · Ask 0.21 · Vol $244K
Poly Kalshi
122 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bid 0.02 · Ask 0.02 · Vol $7.6M
Kalshi
Will Mark Cuban be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.01 · Vol $1.7M
Poly Kalshi
98 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Bid 0.11 · Ask 0.11 · Vol $29.0M
Kalshi
Will Trump buy Greenland?
Bid 0.13 · Ask 0.14 · Vol $1.0M
Poly Kalshi
46 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bid 0.02 · Ask 0.02 · Vol $7.6M
Kalshi
Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.04 · Vol $3.0M

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