Live
Markets 59811
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 8775
Volume $4.9B

Other Predictions & Live Odds

Markets 14991
Type category
Active Arbs 27
# Market Platform Yes No Volume End Date
1 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? polymarket 100¢ $36.0M Dec 31
2 Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027? kalshi 100¢ $10.2M Jan 1, 2027
3 GTA VI released before June 2026? polymarket 100¢ $7.5M May 31
4 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? polymarket 100¢ $6.2M Dec 31
5 Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy A... polymarket 100¢ $2.9M Mar 15
6 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? polymarket 100¢ $2.6M Jun 30
7 Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? kalshi 100¢ $2.4M Jan 21, 2029
8 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $2.3M Dec 31
9 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? polymarket 100¢ $2.2M Jan 1, 2027
10 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $2.0M Dec 31
11 Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan... kalshi 100¢ $1.9M Jan 1, 2027
12 Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.9M Mar 15
13 Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $1.9M Dec 31
14 Human moon landing in 2026? polymarket 100¢ $1.9M Dec 31
15 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the Oscars? kalshi 99¢ $1.8M Dec 31
16 Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? polymarket 100¢ $1.8M Jan 1, 2027
17 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.8M Mar 15
18 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa... polymarket 99¢ $1.5M Mar 15
19 Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.5M Mar 15
20 Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.4M Mar 15
21 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $1.3M Dec 31
22 Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.3M Mar 15
23 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.3M Mar 15
24 Will Timothee Chalamet win Best Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 99¢ $1.2M Dec 31
25 Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz before Jan 2027? kalshi 100¢ $1.2M Jan 1, 2027
26 What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? kalshi 100¢ $1.2M Mar 31
27 Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027? kalshi 100¢ $1.2M Jan 4, 2027
28 Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027? kalshi 99¢ $1.2M Jul 1, 2027
29 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $1.2M Dec 31
30 How many launches will SpaceX have in Feb 2026? kalshi 100¢ $1.1M Mar 1
31 Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.1M Mar 15
32 Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $1.1M Mar 15
33 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $1.1M Dec 31
34 Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $1.1M Dec 31
35 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $1.0M
36 Powell leaves before May 2026? kalshi 100¢ $1.0M May 1
37 What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? kalshi 100¢ $999K Mar 31
38 Zimbabwe vs South Africa Winner? kalshi 100¢ $983K Mar 16
39 Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $945K Mar 15
40 Will Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027? kalshi 100¢ $898K Jul 1, 2027
41 Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31,... kalshi 100¢ $896K Dec 31
42 What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? kalshi 100¢ $862K Mar 31
43 Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? polymarket 100¢ $856K Jan 1, 2027
44 Will James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027? kalshi 100¢ $847K Jan 1, 2027
45 Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? kalshi 99¢ $845K Jan 7, 2027
46 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? polymarket 100¢ $805K
47 Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $801K Dec 31
48 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026... kalshi 99¢ $776K Dec 31
49 Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $693K Dec 31
50 Zimbabwe vs South Africa Winner? kalshi 99¢ $681K Mar 16
51 What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? kalshi 100¢ $660K Mar 31
52 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? polymarket 100¢ $653K Dec 31, 2027
53 Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $649K Dec 31
54 Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? polymarket 99¢ $637K Jan 1, 2027
55 Will Stellan Skarsgard win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $626K Dec 31
56 How many launches will SpaceX have in Feb 2026? kalshi 100¢ $613K Mar 1
57 Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? polymarket 100¢ $601K Jan 1, 2027
58 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $600K Mar 15
59 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 99¢ $598K Mar 15
60 What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? kalshi 100¢ $597K Mar 31
61 Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 99¢ $596K Dec 31
62 Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $571K Dec 31
63 Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? polymarket 100¢ $563K Dec 31
64 Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Apr 1, 202... kalshi 100¢ $562K Apr 1
65 India vs West Indies Winner? kalshi 99¢ $555K Mar 16
66 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? polymarket 100¢ $550K Dec 31
67 Will Position abolished be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? kalshi 100¢ $546K Jan 1, 2045
68 Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $534K Dec 31
69 Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $529K Dec 31
70 Manchester United vs Crystal Palace Winner? kalshi 99¢ $527K Mar 15
71 What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? kalshi 100¢ $525K Mar 31
72 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? polymarket 100¢ $510K Dec 31
73 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards... polymarket 99¢ $500K Mar 15
74 Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $489K Mar 15
75 Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? polymarket 100¢ $486K Mar 15
76 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? polymarket 100¢ $481K Mar 31
77 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? polymarket 99¢ $477K Mar 31
78 India vs West Indies Winner? kalshi 100¢ $476K Mar 16
79 WIll GTA6 be released by May 26, 2026? kalshi 100¢ $466K May 27
80 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? polymarket 100¢ $462K Mar 31
81 What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? kalshi 100¢ $461K Mar 31
82 Gemini 3.5 released by March 31? polymarket 100¢ $459K Jun 30
83 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi... polymarket 99¢ $454K Jun 30
84 Will None's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027? kalshi 100¢ $448K Jul 1, 2027
85 Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $444K Dec 31
86 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? polymarket 100¢ $443K Dec 31
87 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? polymarket 100¢ $441K May 16
88 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da... polymarket 99¢ $441K Dec 31, 2027
89 Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $438K Dec 31
90 Will Chloe Zhao win Best Director at the Oscars? kalshi 100¢ $438K Dec 31
91 Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50? kalshi 100¢ $438K Jan 7, 2027
92 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? polymarket 100¢ $437K Mar 31
93 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? polymarket 100¢ $436K Dec 31
94 Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of Chin... kalshi 100¢ $430K Jan 2, 2027
95 Who will be the next the head of state or government of Iran? kalshi 100¢ $430K Jan 1, 2027
96 Which EPL teams will qualify for the Champions League? kalshi 100¢ $426K May 25
97 Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50? kalshi 100¢ $424K Jan 7, 2027
98 Will DHS funding bill become law before Mar 1, 2026? kalshi 100¢ $422K Mar 1
99 Will France win Eurovision 2026? polymarket 100¢ $416K May 16
100 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the Oscars? kalshi 99¢ $407K Dec 31

Arbitrage Opportunities

Poly Kalshi
9687 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africa - Who wins the toss?
Bid 1.00 · Ask 1.00 · Vol $4K
Kalshi
Zimbabwe vs South Africa Winner?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.01 · Vol $983K
Poly Kalshi
8194 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Bid 0.06 · Ask 0.06 · Vol $489K
Kalshi
Will Emma Stone attend 32nd Annual Actor Awards?
Bid 0.91 · Ask 0.97 · Vol $90
Poly Kalshi
8088 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Bid 0.11 · Ask 0.12 · Vol $600K
Kalshi
Will Gwyneth Paltrow attend 32nd Annual Actor Awards?
Bid 0.96 · Ask 1.00 · Vol $1K
Poly Kalshi
7826 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.06 · Vol $127
Kalshi
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Bid 0.87 · Ask 0.88 · Vol $845K
Poly Kalshi
7714 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.03 · Vol $443K
Kalshi
Netflix Streaming Subscription price increase in 2026?
Bid 0.83 · Ask 0.88 · Vol $139K
Poly Kalshi
6906 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?
Bid 0.96 · Ask 0.97 · Vol $891
Kalshi
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bid 0.23 · Ask 0.24 · Vol $10.2M
Poly Kalshi
5856 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Bid 0.04 · Ask 0.04 · Vol $416K
Kalshi
France vs Senegal Winner?
Bid 0.65 · Ask 0.69 · Vol $747
Poly Kalshi
5731 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Bid 0.69 · Ask 0.71 · Vol $598K
Kalshi
Will Josh Allen attend 32nd Annual Actor Awards?
Bid 0.06 · Ask 0.10 · Vol $9K
Poly Kalshi
4953 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Bid 0.60 · Ask 0.62 · Vol $17K
Kalshi
Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.08 · Ask 0.09 · Vol $430K
Poly Kalshi
3250 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5
Bid 0.18 · Ask 0.29 · Vol $0
Kalshi
Manchester United vs Crystal Palace Winner?
Bid 0.64 · Ask 0.65 · Vol $527K
Poly Kalshi
2721 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.03 · Vol $3.1M
Kalshi
Which EPL teams will qualify for the Champions League?
Bid 0.31 · Ask 0.33 · Vol $426K
Poly Kalshi
2528 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Bid 0.71 · Ask 0.72 · Vol $337K
Kalshi
Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz before Jan 2027?
Bid 0.41 · Ask 0.43 · Vol $1.2M
Poly Kalshi
2491 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Bid 0.02 · Ask 0.02 · Vol $7.5M
Kalshi
Will another GTA VI trailer come out before May 2026?
Bid 0.28 · Ask 0.34 · Vol $20K
Poly Kalshi
2453 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Bid 0.45 · Ask 0.51 · Vol $563K
Kalshi
Will John Summit be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?
Bid 0.09 · Ask 0.19 · Vol $1K
Poly Kalshi
1933 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Bid 0.46 · Ask 0.50 · Vol $65K
Kalshi
Will James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027?
Bid 0.19 · Ask 0.25 · Vol $847K
Poly Kalshi
1497 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Bid 0.30 · Ask 0.39 · Vol $111K
Kalshi
Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.13 · Ask 0.14 · Vol $1.9M
Poly Kalshi
1297 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Bid 0.04 · Ask 0.04 · Vol $416K
Kalshi
France vs Senegal Winner?
Bid 0.18 · Ask 0.24 · Vol $33
Poly Kalshi
910 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Bid 0.11 · Ask 0.12 · Vol $147K
Kalshi
Who will be the next the head of state or government of Iran?
Bid 0.22 · Ask 0.23 · Vol $430K
Poly Kalshi
680 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Bid 0.08 · Ask 0.08 · Vol $1.3M
Kalshi
Will WW Team win the WW Team vs. ENCE Academy CS2 match?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.01 · Vol $2K
Poly Kalshi
331 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?
Bid 0.16 · Ask 0.17 · Vol $35K
Kalshi
Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?
Bid 0.11 · Ask 0.12 · Vol $1.2M
Poly Kalshi
200 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 4-7, 2026?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.03 · Vol $19K
Kalshi
Will DHS funding bill become law before Mar 1, 2026?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.01 · Vol $422K
Poly Kalshi
191 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in March?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.14 · Vol $962
Kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in Feb 2026?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.01 · Vol $1.1M
Poly Kalshi
191 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in March?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.14 · Vol $962
Kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in Feb 2026?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.01 · Vol $613K
Poly Kalshi
97 bps BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Bid 0.05 · Ask 0.06 · Vol $218K
Kalshi
Powell leaves before May 2026?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.04 · Vol $1.0M
Poly Kalshi
46 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Bid 0.06 · Ask 0.06 · Vol $489K
Kalshi
Will Selena Gomez attend 32nd Annual Actor Awards?
Bid 0.07 · Ask 0.08 · Vol $14K
Poly Kalshi
36 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Bid 0.04 · Ask 0.04 · Vol $416K
Kalshi
France vs Senegal Winner?
Bid 0.05 · Ask 0.16 · Vol $1K
Poly Kalshi
32 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bid 0.12 · Ask 0.13 · Vol $757K
Kalshi
Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Bid 0.14 · Ask 0.15 · Vol $896K