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Live
Markets 130702
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 62
Volume $9.1B

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

polymarket politics Ends Dec 31 (6mo left) Vol: $156K • LIVE · Jun 11, 2026 15:40 UTC
Yes price
14¢
No price
86¢
24h change
-38.16%
Bid 14¢ Ask 16¢ Mid 16¢ Liquidity $13K
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About this market: Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? is currently priced at 14¢ for Yes and 86¢ for No on polymarket, in the politics category. It resolves on Dec 31 (6mo from now). Daily volume is around $156K. This market is also tracked on the other platform below; cross-platform spread comparison may reveal arbitrage opportunities.

Cross-Platform Prices

Polymarket
Bid
14.5¢
Ask
16.5¢
Mid
15.5¢
Vol: $156K
Kalshi
Bid
16.0¢
Ask
21.0¢
Mid
18.5¢
Vol: $7K

Matched Pairs

Poly Kalshi entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Bid 0.14 · Ask 0.17 · Mid 0.15 · Vol $156K
Kalshi
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Bid 0.16 · Ask 0.21 · Mid 0.18 · Vol $7K

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