Skip to main content
Live
Markets 445562
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 132
Volume $9.1B

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

polymarket politics Ends Jan 1, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $183K • LIVE · Oct 26, 2026 01:31 UTC
Yes price
3¢
No price
97¢
24h change
-17.48%
Bid 3¢ Ask 5¢ Mid 4¢ Liquidity $13K
Trade on polymarket Run arbitrage calculator → See all live arbs →

About this market: Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? is currently priced at 3¢ for Yes and 97¢ for No on polymarket, in the politics category. It resolves on Jan 1, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $183K. This market is also tracked on the other platform below; cross-platform spread comparison may reveal arbitrage opportunities.

Cross-Platform Prices

Polymarket
Bid
2.8¢
Ask
5.0¢
Mid
3.9¢
Vol: $183K
Kalshi
Bid
7.1¢
Ask
11.0¢
Mid
9.0¢
Vol: $14K

Matched Pairs

Poly Kalshi entity
178 bps BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.05 · Mid 0.04 · Vol $183K
Kalshi
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Bid 0.07 · Ask 0.11 · Mid 0.09 · Vol $14K
Spread Buy K: -0.0859 Spread Buy P: 0.0179 Best Arb: 0.0179 (178 bps)

More politics markets

All politics markets →