Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $12K
Kalshi
Bid
0.4
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.4
Vol: $253
Polymarket
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $12K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $337
Polymarket
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $12K
Kalshi
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.2
Mid
0.2
Vol: $239
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
2369 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Bid 0.10 · Ask 0.11 · Mid 0.10 · Vol $12K
Kalshi
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Virginia?
Bid 0.36 · Ask 0.39 · Mid 0.38 · Vol $253
Spread Buy K: -0.3037
Spread Buy P: 0.2370
Best Arb: 0.2370 (2369 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
774 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Bid 0.10 · Ask 0.11 · Mid 0.10 · Vol $12K
Kalshi
Wil Joshua Smith be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Iowa?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.02 · Mid 0.01 · Vol $337
Spread Buy K: 0.0774
Spread Buy P: -0.1122
Best Arb: 0.0774 (774 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
623 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Bid 0.10 · Ask 0.11 · Mid 0.10 · Vol $12K
Kalshi
Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.18 · Ask 0.24 · Mid 0.21 · Vol $239
Spread Buy K: -0.1492
Spread Buy P: 0.0624
Best Arb: 0.0624 (623 bps)