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Platforms 2
Active Arbs 131
Volume $9.1B

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

polymarket sports Ends Jan 1, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $41K • LIVE · Oct 26, 2026 01:40 UTC
Yes price
74¢
No price
26¢
Bid 74¢ Ask 76¢ Mid 75¢ Liquidity $4K
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About this market: Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? is currently priced at 74¢ for Yes and 26¢ for No on polymarket, in the sports category. It resolves on Jan 1, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $41K. This market is also tracked on the other platform below; cross-platform spread comparison may reveal arbitrage opportunities.

Cross-Platform Prices

Polymarket
Bid
74.0¢
Ask
76.0¢
Mid
75.0¢
Vol: $41K
Kalshi
Bid
73.0¢
Ask
74.0¢
Mid
73.5¢
Vol: $8K

Matched Pairs

Poly Kalshi entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bid 0.74 · Ask 0.76 · Mid 0.75 · Vol $41K
Kalshi
Lionel Messi: Top 5 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
Bid 0.73 · Ask 0.74 · Mid 0.73 · Vol $8K

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