Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.6
Ask
0.6
Mid
0.6
Vol: $27K
Kalshi
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.3
Mid
0.2
Vol: $311
Polymarket
Bid
0.6
Ask
0.6
Mid
0.6
Vol: $27K
Kalshi
Bid
0.5
Ask
0.5
Mid
0.5
Vol: $46K
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
2897 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Bid 0.59 · Ask 0.60 · Mid 0.60 · Vol $27K
Kalshi
When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?
Bid 0.21 · Ask 0.28 · Mid 0.24 · Vol $311
Spread Buy K: 0.2898
Spread Buy P: -0.4083
Best Arb: 0.2898 (2897 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
219 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Bid 0.59 · Ask 0.60 · Mid 0.60 · Vol $27K
Kalshi
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?
Bid 0.47 · Ask 0.54 · Mid 0.51 · Vol $46K
Spread Buy K: 0.0220
Spread Buy P: -0.1561
Best Arb: 0.0220 (219 bps)