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Live
Markets 444097
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 126
Volume $9.1B

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

polymarket politics Ends Jan 1, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $249K • LIVE · Oct 26, 2026 02:57 UTC
Yes price
4¢
No price
96¢
24h change
+36.63%
Bid 4¢ Ask 10¢ Mid 7¢ Liquidity $14K
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About this market: Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? is currently priced at 4¢ for Yes and 96¢ for No on polymarket, in the politics category. It resolves on Jan 1, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $249K. This market is also tracked on the other platform below; cross-platform spread comparison may reveal arbitrage opportunities.

Cross-Platform Prices

Polymarket
Bid
4.1¢
Ask
9.6¢
Mid
6.9¢
Vol: $249K
Kalshi
Bid
2.5¢
Ask
6.3¢
Mid
4.4¢
Vol: $69K

Matched Pairs

Poly Kalshi entity
No arb
Polymarket
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Bid 0.04 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.07 · Vol $249K
Kalshi
Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.06 · Mid 0.04 · Vol $69K

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