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Live
Markets 366971
Platforms 2
Active Arbs 76
Volume $7.3B

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

kalshi politics Ends Jan 1, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $17K • LIVE · Nov 1, 2026 18:27 UTC
Yes price
5¢
No price
95¢
24h change
+0.71%
Bid 5¢ Ask 9¢ Mid 7¢ OI $5K
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About this market: Will Trump recognize Somaliland? is currently priced at 5¢ for Yes and 95¢ for No on kalshi, in the politics category. It resolves on Jan 1, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $17K. This market is also tracked on the other platform below; cross-platform spread comparison may reveal arbitrage opportunities.

Cross-Platform Prices

Polymarket
Bid
6.0¢
Ask
9.2¢
Mid
7.6¢
Vol: $190K
Kalshi
Bid
4.9¢
Ask
9.0¢
Mid
7.0¢
Vol: $17K

Matched Pairs

Poly Kalshi entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Bid 0.06 · Ask 0.09 · Mid 0.08 · Vol $190K
Kalshi
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Bid 0.05 · Ask 0.09 · Mid 0.07 · Vol $17K

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