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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi updown Ends Jan 5, 2027 (3mo left) Vol: $13K • LIVE · Sep 10, 2026 18:45 UTC
Yes price
11¢
No price
89¢
Bid 11¢ Ask 13¢ Mid 12¢ OI $7K
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About this market: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? is currently priced at 11¢ for Yes and 89¢ for No on kalshi, in the updown category. It resolves on Jan 5, 2027 (3mo from now). Daily volume is around $13K. No matched market was found on the other platform yet.

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