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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi updown Ends Jan 5, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $16K • LIVE · Oct 26, 2026 18:47 UTC
Yes price
11¢
No price
89¢
Bid 11¢ Ask 12¢ Mid 12¢ OI $8K
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About this market: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? is currently priced at 11¢ for Yes and 89¢ for No on kalshi, in the updown category. It resolves on Jan 5, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $16K. No matched market was found on the other platform yet.

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