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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi updown Ends Jan 5, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $61K • LIVE · Oct 26, 2026 06:37 UTC
Yes price
15¢
No price
85¢
Bid 15¢ Ask 17¢ Mid 16¢ OI $44K
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About this market: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? is currently priced at 15¢ for Yes and 85¢ for No on kalshi, in the updown category. It resolves on Jan 5, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $61K. No matched market was found on the other platform yet.

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