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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi updown Ends Jan 5, 2027 (3mo left) Vol: $40K • LIVE · Sep 10, 2026 10:58 UTC
Yes price
20¢
No price
80¢
Bid 20¢ Ask 24¢ Mid 22¢ OI $32K
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About this market: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? is currently priced at 20¢ for Yes and 80¢ for No on kalshi, in the updown category. It resolves on Jan 5, 2027 (3mo from now). Daily volume is around $40K. No matched market was found on the other platform yet.

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