Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 12.5%?
Yes price
4¢
No price
96¢
Bid 4¢
Ask 8¢
Mid 6¢
OI $2K
About this market: Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 12.5%? is currently priced at 4¢ for Yes and 96¢ for No on kalshi, in the updown category. It resolves on Jul 30 (1mo from now). Daily volume is around $4K. No matched market was found on the other platform yet.
Cross-Platform Prices
More updown markets
All updown markets →
kalshi
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BL...
28¢
$25.8M
kalshi
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
5¢
$5.1M
kalshi
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the S...
16¢
$4.3M
kalshi
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75...
—¢
$1.9M
kalshi
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the S...
56¢
$1.9M
kalshi
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the S...
—¢
$1.5M
kalshi
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 202...
9¢
$1.1M
kalshi
Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
74¢
$746K