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Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi other Ends Jan 1, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $69K • LIVE · Oct 27, 2026 20:18 UTC

Yes price

3¢

No price

97¢

24h change

-11.24%

Bid 3¢ Ask 4¢ Mid 4¢ OI $29K

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About this market: Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027? is currently priced at 3¢ for Yes and 97¢ for No on kalshi, in the other category. It resolves on Jan 1, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $69K. This market is also tracked on the other platform below; cross-platform spread comparison may reveal arbitrage opportunities.

Cross-Platform Prices

Polymarket

Bid

4.3¢

Ask

8.0¢

Mid

6.2¢

Vol: $249K

Kalshi

Bid

3.4¢

Ask

4.5¢

Mid

4.0¢

Vol: $69K

Matched Pairs

Poly Kalshi entity

No arb